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Rakow C. vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Matchday 29 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:45

Rakow C.

PPG 1.46 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLWW

4 – 1

FULL TIME

Cracovia Krakow

PPG 1.14 · AWAY

LAST 5

DDDDD

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.8%0-18.4%0-24.0%0-31.3%0-4+0.4%1 1-013.0%1-112.4%1-25.9%1-31.9%1-4+0.5%2 2-09.6%2-19.2%2-24.4%2-31.4%2-4+0.4%3 3-04.8%3-14.5%3-22.2%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.4%4+-12.3%4+-21.1%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.5% 54.3% 1.84 -8.9%

Draw 26.3% 29.0% 3.45 -9.3%

Away win 24.3% 23.8% 4.20 +2.1%

Over 2.5 43.9% 47.6% 2.10 -7.8%

Over 3.5 22.8% 26.3% 3.80 -13.4%

BTTS 47.4% 51.8% 1.93 -8.5%

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 74 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 42%

O2.5 62%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 41%

ROI -8.6%

Bet Hit 50%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob47.4%

H 50% / xG 1.5-1.0 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–0 13.0%

#2 1–1 12.4%

#3 2–0 9.6%

#4 2–1 9.2%

#5 0–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Rakow C.1.5

Cracovia Krakow1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.9% · O3.5 PROB 22.8%

Form & verdict PPG

RAKOW C. · PPG 1.46

CRACOVIA KRAKOW · PPG 1.14

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

50%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.46) > Away AVERAGE (1.14)

Win probability 1X2

Rakow C. (H) 49.5%

ODDS 1.84 · IMPLIED 54.3% EV -8.9%

Draw 26.3%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV -9.3%

Cracovia Krakow (A) 24.3%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +2.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Rakow C. face Cracovia Krakow in Poland - Ekstraklasa on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Rakow C. a 50% chance, the draw 26% and Cracovia Krakow 24%, so Rakow C. are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Rakow C. and 1.0 for Cracovia Krakow (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Rakow C. are averaging 1.46 points per game versus 1.14 for Cracovia Krakow. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +2.1%. This match finished 4-1.

Rakow C. vs Cracovia Krakow Prediction— Poland - Ekstraklasa

Match Preview & Prediction

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