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TuBa Pohlheim vs CSC 03 Kassel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Hessen - 28 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:30

TuBa Pohlheim

PPG 1.62 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

CSC 03 Kassel

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 5.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.6%0-11.1%0-21.1%0-30.7%0-4+0.6%1 1-01.8%1-13.6%1-23.6%1-32.4%1-4+1.9%2 2-02.8%2-15.7%2-25.7%2-33.8%2-4+3.0%3 3-03.0%3-16.0%3-26.0%3-34.0%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-05.4%4+-110.7%4+-210.7%4+-37.1%4+-4+5.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 61.6% — — —

Draw 16.0% — — —

Away win 22.4% — — —

Over 2.5 89.0% — — —

Over 3.5 76.0% — — —

BTTS 82.9% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 42 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 43%

O2.5 74%

BTTS 74%

Score Hit 31%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 74%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)3.2 xG (away)2.0 BTTS prob82.9%

H 62% / xG 3.2-2.0 / O2.5 89% / BTTS 83%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 6.0%

#2 3–2 6.0%

#3 2–1 5.7%

#4 2–2✓ 5.7%

#5 4–1 4.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TuBa Pohlheim3.2

CSC 03 Kassel2.0

COMBINED 5.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 89.0% · O3.5 PROB 76.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TUBA POHLHEIM · PPG 1.62

CSC 03 KASSEL · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.62) > Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

TuBa Pohlheim (H) 61.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

CSC 03 Kassel (A) 22.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TuBa Pohlheim face CSC 03 Kassel in Germany - Oberliga - Hessen on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TuBa Pohlheim a 62% chance, the draw 16% and CSC 03 Kassel 22%, so TuBa Pohlheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.2 for TuBa Pohlheim and 2.0 for CSC 03 Kassel (5.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 89% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 83% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TuBa Pohlheim are averaging 1.62 points per game versus 1.31 for CSC 03 Kassel. This match finished 2-2.

TuBa Pohlheim vs CSC 03 Kassel Prediction— Germany - Oberliga - Hessen

Match Preview & Prediction

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