Today / Turkey - 2. Lig / Kirklarelispor vs Trabzon FK

Kirklarelispor vs Trabzon FK Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Kırmızı - 33 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 12:00

Kirklarelispor

PPG 1.33 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Trabzon FK

PPG 1.31 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.5%0-19.2%0-27.7%0-34.3%0-4+2.7%1 1-06.7%1-111.3%1-29.5%1-35.3%1-4+3.2%2 2-04.1%2-16.9%2-25.8%2-33.2%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.7%3-12.8%3-22.4%3-31.3%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-00.7%4+-11.1%4+-20.9%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.9% — — —

Draw 24.1% — — —

Away win 48.1% — — —

Over 2.5 55.5% — — —

Over 3.5 33.1% — — —

BTTS 57.4% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 30 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5 53%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 33%

ROI -56.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 42%CONFIDENCE

✓ HIT — EXACT SCORE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob57.4%

A 48% / xG 1.2-1.7 / O2.5 56% / BTTS 57%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%

#2 1–2✓ 9.5%

#3 0–1 9.2%

#4 0–2 7.7%

#5 2–1 6.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kirklarelispor1.2

Trabzon FK1.7

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 55.5% · O3.5 PROB 33.1%

Form & verdict PPG

KIRKLARELISPOR · PPG 1.33

TRABZON FK · PPG 1.31

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.33), Away AVERAGE (1.31)

Win probability 1X2

Kirklarelispor (H) 27.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 24.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Trabzon FK (A) 48.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Kirklarelispor face Trabzon FK in Turkey - 2. Lig on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kirklarelispor a 28% chance, the draw 24% and Trabzon FK 48%, so Trabzon FK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kirklarelispor and 1.7 for Trabzon FK (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 57% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kirklarelispor are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.31 for Trabzon FK. This match finished 1-2.

Kirklarelispor vs Trabzon FK Prediction— Turkey - 2. Lig

Match Preview & Prediction

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