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TSV St. Johann vs W. Innsbruck Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 33 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 15:00

TSV St. Johann

PPG 1.27 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

W. Innsbruck

PPG 2.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.87) vs Home AVERAGE (1.27)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-18.8%0-211.4%0-39.8%0-4+11.8%1 1-02.7%1-17.0%1-29.0%1-37.8%1-4+9.3%2 2-01.1%2-12.8%2-23.6%2-33.1%2-4+3.7%3 3-00.3%3-10.7%3-21.0%3-30.8%3-4+1.0%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.0% — — —

Draw 19.0% — — —

Away win 64.0% — — —

Over 2.5 64.4% — — —

Over 3.5 42.0% — — —

BTTS 55.4% — — —

Home O1.5 33.7% — — —

Away O1.5 68.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 56%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob55.4%

A 64% / xG 0.8-2.6 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 11.4%

#2 0–3 9.8%

#3 1–2✓ 9.0%

#4 1–1 7.0%

#5 1–3 7.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

TSV St. Johann0.8

W. Innsbruck2.6

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.4% · O3.5 PROB 42.0%

Form & verdict PPG

TSV ST. JOHANN · PPG 1.27

W. INNSBRUCK · PPG 2.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.87) vs Home AVERAGE (1.27)

Win probability 1X2

TSV St. Johann (H) 17.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

W. Innsbruck (A) 64.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

TSV St. Johann face W. Innsbruck in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives TSV St. Johann a 17% chance, the draw 19% and W. Innsbruck 64%, so W. Innsbruck are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for TSV St. Johann and 2.6 for W. Innsbruck (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, TSV St. Johann are averaging 1.27 points per game versus 2.87 for W. Innsbruck. This match finished 1-2.

TSV St. Johann vs W. Innsbruck Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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