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Reichenau vs Saalfelden Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 33 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 15:00

Reichenau logo
Reichenau
PPG 1.79 · HOME
4 – 0
FULL TIME
✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5
Saalfelden logo
Saalfelden
PPG 0.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=54.5%

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.5%0-16.6%0-22.9%0-30.8%0-4+0.2%1 1-012.8%1-111.3%1-25.0%1-31.5%1-4+0.4%2 2-011.0%2-19.7%2-24.2%2-31.2%2-4+0.3%3 3-06.3%3-15.5%3-22.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-03.9%4+-13.5%4+-21.5%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 54.5%
Draw 24.6%
Away win 20.9%
Over 2.5 53.9%
Over 3.5 32.2%
BTTS 52.3%
Home O1.5 55.0%
Away O1.5 27.9%

League track record

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%
O2.5 60%
BTTS 59%
Score Hit 37%
ROI -6.3%
Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 35%CONFIDENCE
✘ MISS — FT 4-0
xG (home)1.7 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.3%

H 55% / xG 1.7-0.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.3%
#2 1–0 12.8%
#3 2–0 11.0%
#4 2–1 9.7%
#5 0–0 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Reichenau1.7
Saalfelden0.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.9% · O3.5 PROB 32.2%

Form & verdict PPG

REICHENAU · PPG 1.79

SAALFELDEN · PPG 0.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value
55%
HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: GOOD form (1.79) vs P(Home)=54.5%

Win probability 1X2

Reichenau (H) 54.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 24.6%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Saalfelden (A) 20.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Reichenau face Saalfelden in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Reichenau a 55% chance, the draw 25% and Saalfelden 21%, so Reichenau are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Reichenau and 0.9 for Saalfelden (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Reichenau are averaging 1.79 points per game versus 0.60 for Saalfelden. This match finished 4-0.

PredictVantage

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