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Schwaz vs Imst Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 33 ·Saturday, June 6, 2026, 14:00

Schwaz

PPG 1.67 · HOME

1 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Imst

PPG 1.87 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.0%0-14.3%0-24.5%0-33.2%0-4+2.8%1 1-03.6%1-17.6%1-28.1%1-35.8%1-4+5.0%2 2-03.2%2-16.8%2-27.2%2-35.1%2-4+4.5%3 3-01.9%3-14.0%3-24.3%3-33.0%3-4+2.7%4+ 4+-01.2%4+-12.7%4+-22.8%4+-32.0%4+-4+1.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 34.8% — — —

Draw 21.7% — — —

Away win 43.5% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 46.0% — — —

BTTS 63.6% — — —

Home O1.5 55.0% — — —

Away O1.5 54.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 60%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-2

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.6%

A 44% / xG 1.8-2.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 7.6%

#2 1–2✓ 8.1%

#3 2–2 7.2%

#4 2–1 6.8%

#5 1–3 5.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Schwaz1.8

Imst2.1

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 46.0%

Form & verdict PPG

SCHWAZ · PPG 1.67

IMST · PPG 1.87

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.67), Away GOOD (1.87)

Win probability 1X2

Schwaz (H) 34.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Imst (A) 43.5%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Schwaz face Imst in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Saturday, June 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Schwaz a 35% chance, the draw 22% and Imst 44%, so Imst are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for Schwaz and 2.1 for Imst (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Schwaz are averaging 1.67 points per game versus 1.87 for Imst. This match finished 1-2.

Schwaz vs Imst Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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