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Lustenau vs Hohenems Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

West - 32 ·Thursday, June 4, 2026, 09:00

Lustenau

PPG 1.21 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Hohenems

PPG 1.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.8%0-15.8%0-25.9%0-34.1%0-4+3.4%1 1-04.2%1-18.7%1-29.0%1-36.2%1-4+5.1%2 2-03.2%2-16.6%2-26.8%2-34.7%2-4+3.9%3 3-01.6%3-13.3%3-23.4%3-32.4%3-4+2.0%4+ 4+-00.9%4+-11.8%4+-21.8%4+-31.3%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 32.3% — — —

Draw 22.6% — — —

Away win 45.1% — — —

Over 2.5 65.4% — — —

Over 3.5 43.0% — — —

BTTS 63.5% — — —

Home O1.5 46.9% — — —

Away O1.5 44.6% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 70 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 59%

Score Hit 37%

ROI -6.3%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 55%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.1 BTTS prob63.5%

A 45% / xG 1.5-2.1 / O2.5 65% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.7%

#2 1–2 9.0%

#3 2–2✓ 6.8%

#4 2–1 6.6%

#5 1–3 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Lustenau1.5

Hohenems2.1

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.4% · O3.5 PROB 43.0%

Form & verdict PPG

LUSTENAU · PPG 1.21

HOHENEMS · PPG 1.23

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.21), Away AVERAGE (1.23)

Win probability 1X2

Lustenau (H) 32.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hohenems (A) 45.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Lustenau face Hohenems in Austria - Regionalliga - West on Thursday, June 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Lustenau a 32% chance, the draw 23% and Hohenems 45%, so Hohenems are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Lustenau and 2.1 for Hohenems (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 65% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Lustenau are averaging 1.21 points per game versus 1.23 for Hohenems. This match finished 2-2.

Lustenau vs Hohenems Prediction— Austria - Regionalliga - West

Match Preview & Prediction

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