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Brunswick Juventus FC vs North Geelong Warriors Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Regular Season - 22 ·Saturday, July 25, 2026, 08:00

Brunswick Juventus FC

PPG 2.10 · HOME

UPCOMING

North Geelong Warriors

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.9%0-12.5%0-21.6%0-30.7%0-4+0.3%1 1-05.2%1-16.6%1-24.2%1-31.8%1-4+0.7%2 2-06.9%2-18.8%2-25.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-06.2%3-17.8%3-25.0%3-32.1%3-4+0.9%4+ 4+-07.8%4+-110.0%4+-26.3%4+-32.7%4+-4+1.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 60.3% — — —

Draw 19.4% — — —

Away win 20.3% — — —

Over 2.5 69.2% — — —

Over 3.5 49.7% — — —

BTTS 64.5% — — —

Home O1.5 63.3% — — —

Away O1.5 37.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 55 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 56%

O2.5 67%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 44%

ROI -15.2%

Bet Hit 60%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 74%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob64.5%

H 60% / xG 2.7-1.3 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.8%

#2 3–1 7.8%

#3 1–1 6.6%

#4 2–0 6.9%

#5 3–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Brunswick Juventus FC2.7

North Geelong Warriors1.3

COMBINED 3.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.2% · O3.5 PROB 49.7%

Form & verdict PPG

BRUNSWICK JUVENTUS FC · PPG 2.10

NORTH GEELONG WARRIORS · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +1.40 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Brunswick Juventus FC (H) 60.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 19.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

North Geelong Warriors (A) 20.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Brunswick Juventus FC face North Geelong Warriors in Australia - Victoria NPL 2 on Saturday, July 25, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Brunswick Juventus FC a 60% chance, the draw 19% and North Geelong Warriors 20%, so Brunswick Juventus FC are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Brunswick Juventus FC and 1.3 for North Geelong Warriors (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 65% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Brunswick Juventus FC are averaging 2.10 points per game versus 1.00 for North Geelong Warriors.

Brunswick Juventus FC vs North Geelong Warriors Prediction— Australia - Victoria NPL 2

Match Preview & Prediction

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