← Back to picks

Ipswich Town vs Middlesbrough Prediction— England - Championship

England - Championship logo England flag England - Championship Regular Season - 43 Portman Road· Ipswich Sunday, April 19, 2026 11:00
Ipswich Town logo Ipswich Town PPG 2.19
2-2 MISS
Middlesbrough logo Middlesbrough PPG 1.71
Home· +17.4% ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Ipswich Town face Middlesbrough in England - Championship on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ipswich Town a 52% chance, the draw 25% and Middlesbrough 23%, so Ipswich Town are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Ipswich Town and 1.0 for Middlesbrough (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 51% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ipswich Town are averaging 2.19 points per game versus 1.71 for Middlesbrough. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +17.4%. This match finished 2-2.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 52.2%
Odds: 2.25 EV: +17.4%
Draw 24.5%
Odds: 3.50 EV: -14.2%
Away 23.3%
Odds: 2.95 EV: -31.3%
Model lean: Home
Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 49.6% Odds: 1.75 -13.2%
Over 3.5 27.7% Odds: 2.88 -20.2%
BTTS 51.4% Odds: 1.62 -16.7%
O2.5 UNDER → OVER ✘ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1
2nd 1-0
3rd 2-1
4th 2-0
5th 0-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Ipswich Town
1.65
Middlesbrough
1.01

Model Suggestion

Home +17.4% ROI TRACKS: Home
Tracked ROI market: Home.

League Track Record

Based on 46 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%
O2.5/Under 59%
BTTS/No 46%
Score Hit 54%
ROI -1.0%
Bet Hit 56% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage
75%
MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.19) > Away GOOD (1.71)

PredictVantage is for entertainment and informational purposes only. We do not provide financial or betting advice. All predictions are model-generated and do not guarantee any outcome. Gambling involves risk — never bet more than you can afford to lose. Please gamble responsibly. 18+ only. BeGambleAware.org