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Galway Utd W vs Shamrock R. W Prediction— Ireland

Sunday, July 12, 2026

Galway Utd W

PPG 2.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Shamrock R. W

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.60) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-19.4%0-24.8%0-31.6%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.7%1-112.8%1-26.5%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.7%2-18.7%2-24.4%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-03.9%3-14.0%3-22.0%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-11.8%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 45.6% — — —

Draw 27.0% — — —

Away win 27.3% — — —

Over 2.5 49.9% — — —

Over 3.5 29.2% — — —

BTTS 52.6% — — —

Home O1.5 41.2% — — —

Away O1.5 31.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 38%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 50%

Score Hit 25%

ROI -33.6%

Bet Hit 40%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.6%

H 46% / xG 1.4-1.0 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.8%

#2 0–0 9.3%

#3 1–0 12.7%

#4 2–1 8.7%

#5 2–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Galway Utd W1.4

Shamrock R. W1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.9% · O3.5 PROB 29.2%

Form & verdict PPG

GALWAY UTD W · PPG 2.60

SHAMROCK R. W · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.60) > Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Win probability 1X2

Galway Utd W (H) 45.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 27.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Shamrock R. W (A) 27.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Galway Utd W face Shamrock R. W in Ireland on Sunday, July 12, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Galway Utd W a 46% chance, the draw 27% and Shamrock R. W 27%, so Galway Utd W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Galway Utd W and 1.0 for Shamrock R. W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Galway Utd W are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 2.00 for Shamrock R. W.

Galway Utd W vs Shamrock R. W Prediction— Ireland

Match Preview & Prediction

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