Today / Ireland / Peamount W vs Treaty Utd W

Peamount W vs Treaty Utd W Prediction— Ireland

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Peamount W
PPG 1.60 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Treaty Utd W
PPG 1.80 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.80)

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.0%0-112.8%0-29.1%0-34.3%0-4+2.1%1 1-08.9%1-112.6%1-29.0%1-34.3%1-4+2.1%2 2-04.3%2-16.2%2-24.4%2-32.1%2-4+1.0%3 3-01.4%3-12.0%3-21.4%3-30.7%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.4%4+-10.6%4+-20.4%4+-30.2%4+-4+0.1%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 27.9%
Draw 26.0%
Away win 46.0%
Over 2.5 50.1%
Over 3.5 29.3%
BTTS 52.6%
Home O1.5 35.9%
Away O1.5 38.4%

League track record

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%
O2.5 71%
BTTS 43%
Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 21%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.4 BTTS prob52.6%

A 46% / xG 1.0-1.4 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%
#2 0–1 12.8%
#3 0–0 9.0%
#4 0–2 9.1%
#5 1–2 9.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Peamount W1.0
Treaty Utd W1.4

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.1% · O3.5 PROB 29.3%

Form & verdict PPG

PEAMOUNT W · PPG 1.60

TREATY UTD W · PPG 1.80

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value
42%
BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.60), Away GOOD (1.80)

Win probability 1X2

Peamount W (H) 27.9%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 26.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Treaty Utd W (A) 46.0%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Peamount W face Treaty Utd W in Ireland on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Peamount W a 28% chance, the draw 26% and Treaty Utd W 46%, so Treaty Utd W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Peamount W and 1.4 for Treaty Utd W (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Peamount W are averaging 1.60 points per game versus 1.80 for Treaty Utd W.

PredictVantage

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