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Shelbourne W vs Waterford W Prediction— Ireland

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Shelbourne W

PPG 2.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Waterford W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Home

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.0%0-13.5%0-20.8%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-016.7%1-17.4%1-21.6%1-30.2%1-4+0.0%2 2-017.4%2-17.7%2-21.7%2-30.2%2-4+0.0%3 3-012.1%3-15.3%3-21.2%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-010.2%4+-14.5%4+-21.0%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 66.4% — — —

Draw 21.4% — — —

Away win 12.2% — — —

Over 2.5 51.0% — — —

Over 3.5 29.3% — — —

BTTS 46.5% — — —

Home O1.5 62.5% — — —

Away O1.5 13.3% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 0 41%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)0.4 BTTS prob46.5%

H 66% / xG 2.1-0.4 / O2.5 51% / NoBTTS 46%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 17.4%

#2 1–0 16.7%

#3 3–0 12.1%

#4 0–0 8.0%

#5 1–1 7.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Shelbourne W2.1

Waterford W0.4

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 51.0% · O3.5 PROB 29.3%

Form & verdict PPG

SHELBOURNE W · PPG 2.20

WATERFORD W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.20), Away AVERAGE (1.00) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Shelbourne W (H) 66.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Waterford W (A) 12.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Shelbourne W face Waterford W in Ireland on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Shelbourne W a 66% chance, the draw 21% and Waterford W 12%, so Shelbourne W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Shelbourne W and 0.4 for Waterford W (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 51% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Shelbourne W are averaging 2.20 points per game versus 1.00 for Waterford W.

Shelbourne W vs Waterford W Prediction— Ireland

Match Preview & Prediction

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