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Sligo Rovers W vs Wexford Y. W Prediction— Ireland

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Sligo Rovers W

PPG 1.75 · HOME

UPCOMING

Wexford Y. W

PPG 1.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.6%0-14.3%0-23.5%0-31.9%0-4+1.2%1 1-05.2%1-18.6%1-27.1%1-33.9%1-4+2.3%2 2-05.2%2-18.6%2-27.1%2-33.9%2-4+2.3%3 3-03.5%3-15.7%3-24.7%3-32.6%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-14.5%4+-23.7%4+-32.1%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.9% — — —

Draw 22.3% — — —

Away win 28.8% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 44.1% — — —

BTTS 63.2% — — —

Home O1.5 55.1% — — —

Away O1.5 50.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 59%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.0 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.2%

H 49% / xG 2.0-1.7 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 63%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 8.6%

#2 2–1 8.6%

#3 2–2 7.1%

#4 1–2 7.1%

#5 3–1 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Sligo Rovers W2.0

Wexford Y. W1.7

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 44.1%

Form & verdict PPG

SLIGO ROVERS W · PPG 1.75

WEXFORD Y. W · PPG 1.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.75) > Away AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Sligo Rovers W (H) 48.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 22.3%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Wexford Y. W (A) 28.8%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Sligo Rovers W face Wexford Y. W in Ireland on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Sligo Rovers W a 49% chance, the draw 22% and Wexford Y. W 29%, so Sligo Rovers W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Sligo Rovers W and 1.7 for Wexford Y. W (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Sligo Rovers W are averaging 1.75 points per game versus 1.00 for Wexford Y. W.

Sligo Rovers W vs Wexford Y. W Prediction— Ireland

Match Preview & Prediction

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