Today / Ireland / Cork City W vs Athlone W

Cork City W vs Athlone W Prediction— Ireland

Saturday, July 11, 2026

Cork City W

PPG 0.60 · HOME

UPCOMING

Athlone W

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-16.5%0-29.1%0-38.5%0-4+11.7%1 1-02.2%1-16.3%1-28.8%1-38.2%1-4+11.3%2 2-01.1%2-13.0%2-24.2%2-33.9%2-4+5.4%3 3-00.3%3-11.0%3-21.4%3-31.3%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.3%4+-20.4%4+-30.4%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 17.1% — — —

Draw 16.7% — — —

Away win 66.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.2% — — —

Over 3.5 44.1% — — —

BTTS 60.3% — — —

Home O1.5 35.9% — — —

Away O1.5 68.2% — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 7 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 29%

O2.5 71%

BTTS 43%

Score Hit 29%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 71%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob60.3%

A 66% / xG 1.0-2.8 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 9.1%

#2 1–2 8.8%

#3 0–3 8.5%

#4 1–3 8.2%

#5 1–1 6.3%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Cork City W1.0

Athlone W2.8

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 44.1%

Form & verdict PPG

CORK CITY W · PPG 0.60

ATHLONE W · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.60)

Win probability 1X2

Cork City W (H) 17.1%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 16.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Athlone W (A) 66.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Cork City W face Athlone W in Ireland on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Cork City W a 17% chance, the draw 17% and Athlone W 66%, so Athlone W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for Cork City W and 2.8 for Athlone W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Cork City W are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 1.75 for Athlone W.

Cork City W vs Athlone W Prediction— Ireland

Match Preview & Prediction

More Ireland Predictions