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Slask Wroclaw B vs Unia Skierniewi Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Regular Season - 28 ·Sunday, April 19, 2026, 10:00

Slask Wroclaw B

PPG 1.00 · HOME

2 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · O2.5

Unia Skierniewi

PPG 2.23 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 73.6% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6% — a clear edge.

+21.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.2%0-14.9%0-25.5%0-34.1%0-4+3.9%1 1-03.4%1-17.7%1-28.7%1-36.5%1-4+6.2%2 2-02.7%2-16.1%2-26.9%2-35.1%2-4+4.9%3 3-01.4%3-13.2%3-23.6%3-32.7%3-4+2.6%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-11.8%4+-22.0%4+-31.5%4+-4+1.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 27.0% 27.8% 3.60 -2.8%

Draw 20.2% 28.6% 3.50 -29.3%

Away win 52.8% 55.6% 1.80 -5.0%

Over 2.5 73.6% 60.6% 1.65 +21.4%

Over 3.5 53.2% — — —

BTTS 71.0% — — —

Home O1.5 — — — —

Away O1.5 — — — —

League track record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -7.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 66%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-0

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.2 BTTS prob71.0%

A 53% / xG 1.6-2.2 / O2.5 74% / BTTS 71%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.7%

#2 1–1 7.7%

#3 2–2 6.9%

#4 1–3 6.5%

#5 2–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Slask Wroclaw B1.6

Unia Skierniewi2.2

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 73.6% · O3.5 PROB 53.2%

Form & verdict PPG

SLASK WROCLAW B · PPG 1.00

UNIA SKIERNIEWI · PPG 2.23

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.23) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

Slask Wroclaw B (H) 27.0%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -2.8%

Draw 20.2%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -29.3%

Unia Skierniewi (A) 52.8%

ODDS 1.80 · IMPLIED 55.6% EV -5.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Slask Wroclaw B face Unia Skierniewi in Poland - II Liga - East on Sunday, April 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Slask Wroclaw B a 27% chance, the draw 20% and Unia Skierniewi 53%, so Unia Skierniewi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Slask Wroclaw B and 2.2 for Unia Skierniewi (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 74% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 71% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Slask Wroclaw B are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.23 for Unia Skierniewi. The best value bet our model finds is over 2.5 goals, with an expected value of +21.4%. This match finished 2-0.

Slask Wroclaw B vs Unia Skierniewi Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Match Preview & Prediction

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