Today / Finland - Ykkonen / KPV Kokkola vs TPV
KPV Kokkola vs TPV Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen
Saturday, July 11, 2026
// Model verdict
Over 2.5
Combined xG of 3.2 puts the goal expectation above the line.
Poisson scoreline matrix
Markets vs the line
Correct score prediction
A 45% / xG 1.3-1.8 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 62%
Top 5 Poisson scorelines
Expected goals
COMBINED 3.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.0% · O3.5 PROB 39.9%
Form & verdict
KPV KOKKOLA · PPG 0.50
TPV · PPG 0.17
Home slight advantage: POOR (0.50) > Away POOR (0.17)
Win probability
Match Preview & Prediction
KPV Kokkola face TPV in Finland - Ykkonen on Saturday, July 11, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KPV Kokkola a 32% chance, the draw 24% and TPV 45%, so TPV are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.3 for KPV Kokkola and 1.8 for TPV (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KPV Kokkola are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.17 for TPV.