Today / Finland - Ykkonen / Inter Turku B vs Rovaniemi

Inter Turku B vs Rovaniemi Prediction— Finland - Ykkonen

Friday, July 10, 2026

Inter Turku B
PPG 1.33 · HOME
VS
UPCOMING
Rovaniemi
PPG 1.83 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.7%0-14.4%0-25.6%0-34.8%0-4+5.7%1 1-02.6%1-16.6%1-28.5%1-37.2%1-4+8.6%2 2-01.9%2-14.9%2-26.3%2-35.4%2-4+6.5%3 3-01.0%3-12.5%3-23.2%3-32.7%3-4+3.2%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.3%4+-21.7%4+-31.4%4+-4+1.7%
Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV
Home win 21.5%
Draw 20.7%
Away win 57.8%
Over 2.5 72.0%
Over 3.5 49.1%
BTTS 67.6%
Home O1.5 45.2%
Away O1.5 68.2%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 61%CONFIDENCE
xG (home)1.5 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob67.6%

A 58% / xG 1.5-2.6 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 68%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.5%
#2 1–1 6.6%
#3 1–3 7.2%
#4 2–2 6.3%
#5 0–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Inter Turku B1.5
Rovaniemi2.6

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 72.0% · O3.5 PROB 49.1%

Form & verdict PPG

INTER TURKU B · PPG 1.33

ROVANIEMI · PPG 1.83

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value
45%
DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.33) vs Away GOOD (1.83)

Win probability 1X2

Inter Turku B (H) 21.5%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Draw 20.7%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —
Rovaniemi (A) 57.8%
ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Inter Turku B face Rovaniemi in Finland - Ykkonen on Friday, July 10, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Inter Turku B a 22% chance, the draw 21% and Rovaniemi 58%, so Rovaniemi are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.5 for Inter Turku B and 2.6 for Rovaniemi (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 68% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Inter Turku B are averaging 1.33 points per game versus 1.83 for Rovaniemi.

PredictVantage

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