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Kolbotn W vs Viking FK W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Matchday 13 ·Sunday, August 9, 2026, 13:00

Kolbotn W

PPG 1.17 · HOME

0 – 6

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Viking FK W

PPG 2.60 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.8 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 67.2% vs bookmaker-implied 71.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.3%0-16.0%0-27.9%0-36.8%0-4+8.3%1 1-02.7%1-17.0%1-29.1%1-37.9%1-4+9.6%2 2-01.6%2-14.1%2-25.3%2-34.6%2-4+5.6%3 3-00.6%3-11.6%3-22.0%3-31.8%3-4+2.2%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.6%4+-20.8%4+-30.7%4+-4+0.8%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 22.5% 25.6% 3.90 -7.3%

Draw 19.9% 23.8% 4.20 -9.8%

Away win 57.7% 62.5% 1.60 -7.7%

Over 2.5 67.2% 71.4% 1.40 -5.9%

Over 3.5 45.0% 51.8% 1.93 -13.2%

BTTS 63.6% 70.9% 1.41 -10.3%

Home O1.5 32.1% 41.7% 2.40 -23.0%

Away O1.5 65.0% 71.4% 1.40 -9.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 12 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 75%

O2.5 50%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 25%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-6

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob63.6%

A 58% / xG 1.2-2.6 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.1%

#2 1–1 7.0%

#3 1–3 7.9%

#4 0–2 7.9%

#5 0–3 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Kolbotn W1.2

Viking FK W2.6

COMBINED 3.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.2% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

KOLBOTN W · PPG 1.17

VIKING FK W · PPG 2.60

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ⚠ RISKY - Form concerns with home team | No clear value

45%

DANGER

xG gap -1.44 - moderate Away edge

Win probability 1X2

Kolbotn W (H) 22.5%

ODDS 3.90 · IMPLIED 25.6% EV -7.3%

Draw 19.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -9.8%

Viking FK W (A) 57.7%

ODDS 1.60 · IMPLIED 62.5% EV -7.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Kolbotn W face Viking FK W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Sunday, August 9, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kolbotn W a 23% chance, the draw 20% and Viking FK W 58%, so Viking FK W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Kolbotn W and 2.6 for Viking FK W (3.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kolbotn W are averaging 1.17 points per game versus 2.60 for Viking FK W. This match finished 0-6.

Kolbotn W vs Viking FK W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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