Today / Jazz Pori vs KPV Kokkola

Jazz Pori vs KPV Kokkola Prediction

Thursday, July 2, 2026

Jazz Pori

PPG 0.67 · HOME

UPCOMING

KPV Kokkola

PPG 0.33 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.7 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.5%0-12.4%0-21.1%0-30.4%0-4+0.1%1 1-06.8%1-16.5%1-23.1%1-31.0%1-4+0.3%2 2-09.3%2-18.9%2-24.2%2-31.3%2-4+0.4%3 3-08.5%3-18.1%3-23.9%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-011.4%4+-110.8%4+-25.2%4+-31.6%4+-4+0.5%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.4% — — —

Draw 17.4% — — —

Away win 18.2% — — —

Over 2.5 67.0% — — —

Over 3.5 43.9% — — —

BTTS 59.3% — — —

Home O1.5 61.5% — — —

Away O1.5 28.6% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 67%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.7 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob59.3%

H 64% / xG 2.7-1.0 / O2.5 67% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–0 9.3%

#2 2–1 8.9%

#3 3–0 8.5%

#4 3–1 8.1%

#5 1–1 6.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Jazz Pori2.7

KPV Kokkola1.0

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 67.0% · O3.5 PROB 43.9%

Form & verdict PPG

JAZZ PORI · PPG 0.67

KPV KOKKOLA · PPG 0.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.67) > Away POOR (0.33)

Win probability 1X2

Jazz Pori (H) 64.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 17.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

KPV Kokkola (A) 18.2%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

Jazz Pori face KPV Kokkola on Thursday, July 2, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Jazz Pori a 64% chance, the draw 17% and KPV Kokkola 18%, so Jazz Pori are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.7 for Jazz Pori and 1.0 for KPV Kokkola (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-0. There is a 67% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Jazz Pori are averaging 0.67 points per game versus 0.33 for KPV Kokkola.

Jazz Pori vs KPV Kokkola Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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