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PuiU Helsinki vs HPS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

PuiU Helsinki

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

HPS

PPG 2.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 3.5 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.1% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.2%0-17.4%0-28.7%0-36.8%0-4+7.0%1 1-03.5%1-18.2%1-29.6%1-37.5%1-4+7.7%2 2-01.9%2-14.5%2-25.3%2-34.2%2-4+4.3%3 3-00.7%3-11.7%3-22.0%3-31.5%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.6%4+-20.7%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 19.7% 2.50 -30.4%

Draw 22.1% 3.40 -14.9%

Away win 58.2% 2.30 +33.9%

Over 2.5 64.1% 1.53 -1.9%

Over 3.5 40.0% 2.25 -10.0%

BTTS 60.2% 1.44 -13.3%

Home Over 1.5 35.5% 1.83 -35.0%

Away Over 1.5 69.5% 2.00 +39.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -13.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.1 xG (away)2.3 BTTS prob60.2%

A 58% / xG 1.1-2.3 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 60%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 9.6%

#2 1–1 8.2%

#3 0–2 8.7%

#4 1–3 7.5%

#5 0–3 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

PuiU Helsinki1.1

HPS2.3

COMBINED 3.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.1% · O3.5 PROB 40.0%

Form & verdict PPG

PUIU HELSINKI · PPG 1.00

HPS · PPG 2.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - 🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

66%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: EXCELLENT form (2.50) vs Home AVERAGE (1.00)

Win probability 1X2

PuiU Helsinki (H) 19.7%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -30.4%

Draw 22.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -14.9%

HPS (A) 58.2%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +33.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

PuiU Helsinki face HPS in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives PuiU Helsinki a 20% chance, the draw 22% and HPS 58%, so HPS are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for PuiU Helsinki and 2.3 for HPS (3.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, PuiU Helsinki are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 2.50 for HPS. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +53.2%.

PuiU Helsinki vs HPS Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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