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MYPA vs Atlantis Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 14:00

MYPA

PPG 0.20 · HOME

UPCOMING

Atlantis

PPG 0.20 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.1 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 66.3% vs bookmaker-implied 83.3%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.6%0-14.2%0-25.4%0-34.6%0-4+5.4%1 1-02.5%1-16.5%1-28.3%1-37.1%1-4+8.5%2 2-02.0%2-15.0%2-26.4%2-35.5%2-4+6.6%3 3-01.0%3-12.6%3-23.3%3-32.9%3-4+3.4%4+ 4+-00.6%4+-11.4%4+-21.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+1.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 26.7% 2.90 -13.5%

Draw 20.3% 3.80 -13.7%

Away win 53.0% 1.91 +1.2%

Over 2.5 66.3% 1.20 -20.4%

Over 3.5 47.0% 1.50 -29.5%

BTTS 63.5% 1.22 -22.5%

Home Over 1.5 47.8% 1.62 -22.6%

Away Over 1.5 69.5% 1.40 -2.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -13.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 57%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob63.5%

A 53% / xG 1.6-2.6 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.3%

#2 1–1 6.5%

#3 1–3 7.1%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 2–3 5.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

MYPA1.6

Atlantis2.6

COMBINED 4.1 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 47.0%

Form & verdict PPG

MYPA · PPG 0.20

ATLANTIS · PPG 0.20

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.20), Away POOR (0.20)

Win probability 1X2

MYPA (H) 26.7%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV -13.5%

Draw 20.3%

ODDS 3.80 · IMPLIED 26.3% EV -13.7%

Atlantis (A) 53.0%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV +1.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

MYPA face Atlantis in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives MYPA a 27% chance, the draw 20% and Atlantis 53%, so Atlantis are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for MYPA and 2.6 for Atlantis (4.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, MYPA are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 0.20 for Atlantis. The best value bet our model finds is A/BTTS, with an expected value of +8.0%.

MYPA vs Atlantis Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

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