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Union Plaani vs HIFK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Group A ·Saturday, June 27, 2026, 11:00

Union Plaani

PPG 0.25 · HOME

UPCOMING

HIFK

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 68.8% vs bookmaker-implied 78.1%.

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.4%0-16.7%0-29.5%0-38.9%0-4+12.6%1 1-02.2%1-16.1%1-28.7%1-38.2%1-4+11.5%2 2-01.0%2-12.8%2-24.0%2-33.7%2-4+5.3%3 3-00.3%3-10.9%3-21.2%3-31.1%3-4+1.6%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.3%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 13.2% 6.50 -8.5%

Draw 18.0% 5.25 -3.3%

Away win 68.8% 1.28 -11.9%

Over 2.5 66.3% 1.25 -17.1%

Over 3.5 43.6% 1.60 -30.2%

BTTS 55.8% 1.44 -19.7%

Home Over 1.5 32.5% 2.88 -6.4%

Away Over 1.5 70.7% 1.20 -15.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 8 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 63%

O2.5 63%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 50%

ROI -13.9%

Bet Hit 57%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 68%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)2.8 BTTS prob55.8%

A 69% / xG 0.9-2.8 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 9.5%

#2 0–3 8.9%

#3 1–2 8.7%

#4 1–3 8.2%

#5 1–1 6.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Union Plaani0.9

HIFK2.8

COMBINED 3.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 66.3% · O3.5 PROB 43.6%

Form & verdict PPG

UNION PLAANI · PPG 0.25

HIFK · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Union Plaani (H) 13.2%

ODDS 6.50 · IMPLIED 15.4% EV -8.5%

Draw 18.0%

ODDS 5.25 · IMPLIED 19.0% EV -3.3%

HIFK (A) 68.8%

ODDS 1.28 · IMPLIED 78.1% EV -11.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Union Plaani face HIFK in Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A on Saturday, June 27, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Union Plaani a 13% chance, the draw 18% and HIFK 69%, so HIFK are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Union Plaani and 2.8 for HIFK (3.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Union Plaani are averaging 0.25 points per game versus 1.75 for HIFK.

Union Plaani vs HIFK Prediction— Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A

Match Preview & Prediction

More Finland - Kakkonen - Lohko A Predictions