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AB Argir vs Streymur Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 16:15

AB Argir

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

Streymur

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.6% vs bookmaker-implied 62.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-16.8%0-24.1%0-31.6%0-4+0.6%1 1-09.6%1-111.4%1-26.8%1-32.7%1-4+1.0%2 2-08.0%2-19.5%2-25.7%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-04.4%3-15.3%3-23.2%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-02.7%4+-13.2%4+-21.9%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.1% 51.3% 1.95 -8.2%

Draw 25.1% 29.9% 3.35 -9.6%

Away win 27.8% 28.2% 3.55 -0.8%

Over 2.5 54.3% 57.1% 1.75 -5.0%

Over 3.5 35.0% 35.1% 2.85 -0.3%

BTTS 55.6% 62.5% 1.60 -11.0%

Home O1.5 53.4% 54.6% 1.83 -2.3%

Away O1.5 37.4% 37.0% 2.70 +1.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 0.8%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 38%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.6%

H 47% / xG 1.7-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.4%

#2 2–1 9.5%

#3 2–0 8.0%

#4 1–0 9.6%

#5 0–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

AB Argir1.7

Streymur1.2

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 35.0%

Form & verdict PPG

AB ARGIR · PPG 1.86

STREYMUR · PPG 1.17

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.86) > Away AVERAGE (1.17)

Win probability 1X2

AB Argir (H) 47.1%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -8.2%

Draw 25.1%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -9.6%

Streymur (A) 27.8%

ODDS 3.55 · IMPLIED 28.2% EV -0.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

AB Argir face Streymur in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives AB Argir a 47% chance, the draw 25% and Streymur 28%, so AB Argir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for AB Argir and 1.2 for Streymur (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, AB Argir are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.17 for Streymur. The best value bet our model finds is AwayO15, with an expected value of +1.0%.

AB Argir vs Streymur Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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