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Skala vs B68 Toftir Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 16 ·Saturday, July 4, 2026, 17:30

Skala

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

B68 Toftir

PPG 0.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.9 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.9% vs bookmaker-implied 58.8% — a real, if thin, edge.

+3.5% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.7%0-16.4%0-23.6%0-31.3%0-4+0.5%1 1-09.9%1-111.1%1-26.3%1-32.4%1-4+0.8%2 2-08.6%2-19.7%2-25.5%2-32.1%2-4+0.7%3 3-05.0%3-15.7%3-23.2%3-31.2%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-03.2%4+-13.7%4+-22.1%4+-30.8%4+-4+0.3%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 47.8% 52.4% 1.91 -8.7%

Draw 23.1% 29.4% 3.40 -12.9%

Away win 29.0% 29.0% 3.45 +0.0%

Over 2.5 60.9% 58.8% 1.70 +3.5%

Over 3.5 38.6% 37.0% 2.70 +4.2%

BTTS 59.1% 63.7% 1.57 -7.2%

Home O1.5 53.6% 55.6% 1.80 -3.5%

Away O1.5 35.9% 38.5% 2.60 -6.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 0.8%

Bet Hit 65%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob59.1%

H 48% / xG 1.7-1.1 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 59%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.7%

#3 2–0 8.6%

#4 1–0 9.9%

#5 0–0 5.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Skala1.7

B68 Toftir1.1

COMBINED 2.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.9% · O3.5 PROB 38.6%

Form & verdict PPG

SKALA · PPG 1.00

B68 TOFTIR · PPG 0.57

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.57)

Win probability 1X2

Skala (H) 47.8%

ODDS 1.91 · IMPLIED 52.4% EV -8.7%

Draw 23.1%

ODDS 3.40 · IMPLIED 29.4% EV -12.9%

B68 Toftir (A) 29.0%

ODDS 3.45 · IMPLIED 29.0% EV +0.0%

Match Preview & Prediction

Skala face B68 Toftir in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Saturday, July 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Skala a 48% chance, the draw 23% and B68 Toftir 29%, so Skala are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Skala and 1.1 for B68 Toftir (2.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 59% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Skala are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.57 for B68 Toftir. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +4.2%.

Skala vs B68 Toftir Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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