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HB Torshavn vs Skala Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 15 ·Monday, June 29, 2026, 17:30

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Skala

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-19.0%0-24.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.4%1-112.6%1-25.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-18.8%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.7%3-14.1%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 63.7% 1.57 -23.4%

Draw 27.4% 26.7% 3.75 +1.7%

Away win 23.7% 19.6% 5.10 +12.5%

Over 2.5 49.8% 59.9% 1.67 -16.8%

Over 3.5 28.6% 40.2% 2.49 -17.3%

BTTS 52.6% 59.9% 1.67 -12.2%

Home O1.5 43.4% 63.7% 1.57 -31.9%

Away O1.5 22.9% 29.9% 3.34 -14.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 14.3%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 14.4%

#3 0–0 10.3%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HB Torshavn1.4

Skala0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.00

SKALA · PPG 0.50

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

HB Torshavn (H) 48.8%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -23.4%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +1.7%

Skala (A) 23.7%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

HB Torshavn face Skala in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Monday, June 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB Torshavn a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Skala 24%, so HB Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for HB Torshavn and 0.9 for Skala (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB Torshavn are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Skala. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.5%.

HB Torshavn vs Skala Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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