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HB Torshavn vs Skala Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Matchday 15 ·Monday, June 29, 2026, 17:30

HB Torshavn

PPG 1.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWDW

4 – 1

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Skala

PPG 0.50 · AWAY

LAST 5

LLWWD

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-010.3%0-19.0%0-24.0%0-31.2%0-4+0.3%1 1-014.4%1-112.6%1-25.5%1-31.6%1-4+0.4%2 2-010.0%2-18.8%2-23.9%2-31.1%2-4+0.3%3 3-04.7%3-14.1%3-21.8%3-30.5%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-02.2%4+-12.0%4+-20.9%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 48.8% 63.7% 1.57 -23.4%

Draw 27.4% 26.7% 3.75 +1.7%

Away win 23.7% 19.6% 5.10 +12.5%

Over 2.5 49.8% 59.9% 1.67 -16.8%

Over 3.5 28.6% 40.2% 2.49 -17.3%

BTTS 52.6% 59.9% 1.67 -12.2%

Home O1.5 43.4% 63.7% 1.57 -31.9%

Away O1.5 22.9% 29.9% 3.34 -14.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 27%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 4-1

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)0.9 BTTS prob52.6%

H 49% / xG 1.4-0.9 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.6%

#2 1–0 14.4%

#3 0–0 10.3%

#4 2–0 10.0%

#5 2–1 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

HB Torshavn1.4

Skala0.9

COMBINED 2.3 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.8% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

HB TORSHAVN · PPG 1.00

SKALA · PPG 0.50

✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

75%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: AVERAGE (1.00) > Away POOR (0.50)

Win probability 1X2

HB Torshavn (H) 48.8%

ODDS 1.57 · IMPLIED 63.7% EV -23.4%

Draw 27.4%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +1.7%

Skala (A) 23.7%

ODDS 5.10 · IMPLIED 19.6% EV +12.5%

Match Preview & Prediction

HB Torshavn face Skala in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Monday, June 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives HB Torshavn a 49% chance, the draw 27% and Skala 24%, so HB Torshavn are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for HB Torshavn and 0.9 for Skala (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, HB Torshavn are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 0.50 for Skala. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +12.5%. This match finished 4-1.

HB Torshavn vs Skala Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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