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NSI Runavik vs Klaksvik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 16 ·Friday, July 3, 2026, 18:00

NSI Runavik

PPG 3.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Klaksvik

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.6% vs bookmaker-implied 66.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.4%0-110.7%0-26.7%0-32.8%0-4+1.2%1 1-010.2%1-112.9%1-28.1%1-33.4%1-4+1.4%2 2-06.2%2-17.8%2-24.9%2-32.1%2-4+0.9%3 3-02.5%3-13.1%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.0%4+-11.2%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 38.6% 33.9% 2.95 +13.9%

Draw 26.7% 29.9% 3.35 -6.3%

Away win 34.6% 46.5% 2.15 -25.6%

Over 2.5 52.7% 59.9% 1.67 -12.0%

Over 3.5 31.5% 38.2% 2.62 -17.5%

BTTS 55.6% 66.7% 1.50 -16.6%

Home O1.5 40.0% 43.5% 2.30 -8.0%

Away O1.5 39.8% 52.6% 1.90 -24.4%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 37%

Score Hit 41%

ROI 7.1%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.6%

A 35% / xG 1.2-1.3 / O2.5 53% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.4%

#3 0–1 10.7%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 1–2 8.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

NSI Runavik1.2

Klaksvik1.3

COMBINED 2.5 xG → O2.5 PROB 52.7% · O3.5 PROB 31.5%

Form & verdict PPG

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 3.00

KLAKSVIK · PPG 2.00

🎯 STRONG BET - PPG + Poisson + EV aligned

95%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=38.6%

Win probability 1X2

NSI Runavik (H) 38.6%

ODDS 2.95 · IMPLIED 33.9% EV +13.9%

Draw 26.7%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -6.3%

Klaksvik (A) 34.6%

ODDS 2.15 · IMPLIED 46.5% EV -25.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

NSI Runavik face Klaksvik in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Friday, July 3, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives NSI Runavik a 39% chance, the draw 27% and Klaksvik 35%, so NSI Runavik are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for NSI Runavik and 1.3 for Klaksvik (2.5 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 53% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, NSI Runavik are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Klaksvik. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +13.9%.

NSI Runavik vs Klaksvik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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