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07 Vestur vs AB Argir Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Matchday 14 ·Sunday, June 21, 2026, 14:00

07 Vestur

PPG 0.50 · HOME

UPCOMING

AB Argir

PPG 0.67 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 2.8 puts the goal expectation above the line. Model probability 60.7% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9% — a real, if thin, edge.

+1.4% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.2%0-111.2%0-210.1%0-36.1%0-4+4.1%1 1-06.0%1-110.9%1-29.9%1-35.9%1-4+4.0%2 2-03.0%2-15.3%2-24.8%2-32.9%2-4+2.0%3 3-01.0%3-11.7%3-21.6%3-30.9%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.5%4+-20.5%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 20.8% 32.3% 3.10 -21.3%

Draw 23.3% 29.9% 3.35 -13.2%

Away win 55.9% 47.6% 2.10 +17.4%

Over 2.5 60.7% 59.9% 1.67 +1.4%

Over 3.5 36.7% 37.7% 2.65 -2.8%

BTTS 55.9% 65.4% 1.53 -14.5%

Home O1.5 36.4% 42.6% 2.35 -14.5%

Away O1.5 50.8% 54.1% 1.85 -6.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 48%

O2.5 35%

BTTS 35%

Score Hit 41%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 50%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob55.9%

A 56% / xG 1.0-1.8 / O2.5 61% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 10.9%

#2 0–2 10.1%

#3 1–2 9.9%

#4 0–1 11.2%

#5 0–0 6.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

07 Vestur1.0

AB Argir1.8

COMBINED 2.8 xG → O2.5 PROB 60.7% · O3.5 PROB 36.7%

Form & verdict PPG

07 VESTUR · PPG 0.50

AB ARGIR · PPG 0.67

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home POOR (0.50), Away POOR (0.67)

Win probability 1X2

07 Vestur (H) 20.8%

ODDS 3.10 · IMPLIED 32.3% EV -21.3%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.35 · IMPLIED 29.9% EV -13.2%

AB Argir (A) 55.9%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +17.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

07 Vestur face AB Argir in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Sunday, June 21, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives 07 Vestur a 21% chance, the draw 23% and AB Argir 56%, so AB Argir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for 07 Vestur and 1.8 for AB Argir (2.8 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, 07 Vestur are averaging 0.50 points per game versus 0.67 for AB Argir. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +17.4%.

07 Vestur vs AB Argir Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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