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Vikingur vs NSI Runavik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Regular Season - 15 ·Monday, June 29, 2026, 17:30

Vikingur

PPG 1.86 · HOME

UPCOMING

NSI Runavik

PPG 1.57 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.8% vs bookmaker-implied 63.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.6%0-110.4%0-26.3%0-32.5%0-4+1.0%1 1-010.7%1-112.9%1-27.8%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-06.7%2-18.0%2-24.9%2-32.0%2-4+0.8%3 3-02.8%3-13.3%3-22.0%3-30.8%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-01.1%4+-11.4%4+-20.8%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.9% 38.5% 2.60 -4.1%

Draw 27.5% 30.3% 3.30 -5.5%

Away win 35.6% 40.8% 2.45 -12.8%

Over 2.5 50.0% 58.8% 1.70 -15.0%

Over 3.5 28.6% 38.2% 2.62 -15.0%

BTTS 55.8% 63.7% 1.57 -12.4%

Home O1.5 42.9% 45.7% 2.19 -6.0%

Away O1.5 38.9% 47.4% 2.11 -17.9%

League track record ↗

Based on 24 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 54%

O2.5 38%

BTTS 33%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 14.3%

Bet Hit 73%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 21%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.2 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.8%

H 37% / xG 1.2-1.2 / O2.5 50% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.9%

#2 0–0 8.6%

#3 1–0 10.7%

#4 0–1 10.4%

#5 2–1 8.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vikingur1.2

NSI Runavik1.2

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 50.0% · O3.5 PROB 28.6%

Form & verdict PPG

VIKINGUR · PPG 1.86

NSI RUNAVIK · PPG 1.57

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.86), Away GOOD (1.57)

Win probability 1X2

Vikingur (H) 36.9%

ODDS 2.60 · IMPLIED 38.5% EV -4.1%

Draw 27.5%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -5.5%

NSI Runavik (A) 35.6%

ODDS 2.45 · IMPLIED 40.8% EV -12.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vikingur face NSI Runavik in Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin on Monday, June 29, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vikingur a 37% chance, the draw 28% and NSI Runavik 36%, so Vikingur are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.2 for Vikingur and 1.2 for NSI Runavik (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vikingur are averaging 1.86 points per game versus 1.57 for NSI Runavik.

Vikingur vs NSI Runavik Prediction— Faroe-Islands - Meistaradeildin

Match Preview & Prediction

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