Today / Fjolnir vs Hviti Riddarinn

Fjolnir vs Hviti Riddarinn Prediction

Friday, June 19, 2026

Fjolnir

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Hviti Riddarinn

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 4.2 puts the goal expectation well above the line.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-12.3%0-21.8%0-31.0%0-4+0.5%1 1-03.9%1-16.1%1-24.8%1-32.5%1-4+1.4%2 2-05.1%2-18.1%2-26.4%2-33.4%2-4+1.9%3 3-04.5%3-17.1%3-25.6%3-33.0%3-4+1.7%4+ 4+-05.6%4+-18.9%4+-27.0%4+-33.7%4+-4+2.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 54.7% — —

Draw 21.4% — —

Away win 23.9% — —

Over 2.5 71.9% — —

Over 3.5 47.5% — —

BTTS 67.4% — —

Win probability 1X2

Fjolnir (H) 54.7%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 21.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Hviti Riddarinn (A) 23.9%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 2 61%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.6 xG (away)1.6 BTTS prob67.4%

H 55% / xG 2.6-1.6 / O2.5 72% / BTTS 67%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 2–1 8.1%

#2 3–1 7.1%

#3 1–1 6.1%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 3–2 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Fjolnir2.6

Hviti Riddarinn1.6

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 71.9% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

FJOLNIR · PPG 2.00

HVITI RIDDARINN · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.00) vs P(Home)=54.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Fjolnir face Hviti Riddarinn on Friday, June 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Fjolnir a 55% chance, the draw 21% and Hviti Riddarinn 24%, so Fjolnir are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.6 for Fjolnir and 1.6 for Hviti Riddarinn (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 67% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Fjolnir are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 0.75 for Hviti Riddarinn.

Fjolnir vs Hviti Riddarinn Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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