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Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Championship Playoffs - 2 ·Friday, June 19, 2026, 17:45

Al Salmiyah

PPG 2.00 · HOME

UPCOMING

Al Kuwait

PPG 2.00 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-014.0%0-117.2%0-210.5%0-34.3%0-4+1.7%1 1-010.4%1-112.7%1-27.8%1-33.2%1-4+1.3%2 2-03.8%2-14.7%2-22.9%2-31.2%2-4+0.5%3 3-00.9%3-11.2%3-20.7%3-30.3%3-4+0.1%4+ 4+-00.2%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 28.1% 6.25 +45.4%

Draw 29.5% 4.20 +14.3%

Away win 42.3% 1.45 -38.7%

Over 2.5 43.6% 1.65 -28.1%

Over 3.5 24.7% 2.60 -21.5%

BTTS 48.5% 1.73 -16.1%

Win probability 1X2

Al Salmiyah (H) 28.1%

ODDS 6.25 · IMPLIED 16.0% EV +45.4%

Draw 29.5%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV +14.3%

Al Kuwait (A) 42.3%

ODDS 1.45 · IMPLIED 69.0% EV -38.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

0 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.7 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob48.5%

A 42% / xG 0.7-1.2 / U2.5 44% / NoBTTS 48%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 14.0%

#2 0–1 17.2%

#3 1–1 12.7%

#4 0–2 10.5%

#5 1–0 10.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Salmiyah0.7

Al Kuwait1.2

COMBINED 2.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 43.6% · O3.5 PROB 24.7%

Form & verdict PPG

AL SALMIYAH · PPG 2.00

AL KUWAIT · PPG 2.00

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity | Best EV...

48%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home EXCELLENT (2.00), Away EXCELLENT (2.00)

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Salmiyah face Al Kuwait in Kuwait - Premier League on Friday, June 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Salmiyah a 28% chance, the draw 30% and Al Kuwait 42%, so Al Kuwait are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.7 for Al Salmiyah and 1.2 for Al Kuwait (2.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 44% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Salmiyah are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 2.00 for Al Kuwait. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +45.4%.

Al Salmiyah vs Al Kuwait Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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