Today / Norway - 1. Division / Ranheim vs Lyn

Ranheim vs Lyn Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Matchday 12 ·Friday, June 19, 2026, 17:00

Ranheim

PPG 2.33 · HOME

LAST 5

LWLLL

3 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · HOME O1.5

Lyn

PPG 1.40 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLWWD

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5

Model probability 76.8% vs bookmaker-implied 70.4% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-11.6%0-20.9%0-30.3%0-4+0.1%1 1-04.6%1-15.1%1-22.8%1-31.0%1-4+0.4%2 2-07.2%2-17.9%2-24.3%2-31.6%2-4+0.6%3 3-07.4%3-18.2%3-24.5%3-31.7%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-012.6%4+-113.9%4+-27.6%4+-32.8%4+-4+1.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 64.7% 61.7% 1.62 +4.8%

Draw 17.4% 24.4% 4.10 -17.2%

Away win 17.9% 23.8% 4.20 -14.9%

Over 2.5 69.4% 71.4% 1.40 -2.8%

Over 3.5 47.5% 50.0% 2.00 -5.0%

BTTS 61.7% 70.4% 1.42 -12.4%

Home O1.5 76.8% 70.4% 1.42 +9.1%

Away O1.5 34.4% 42.6% 2.35 -19.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 97 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5 73%

BTTS 64%

Score Hit 26%

ROI 21.6%

Bet Hit 79%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 65%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-2

xG (home)3.1 xG (away)1.1 BTTS prob61.7%

H 65% / xG 3.1-1.1 / O2.5 69% / BTTS 62%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 3–1 8.2%

#2 2–1 7.9%

#3 3–0 7.4%

#4 2–0 7.2%

#5 4–1 6.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ranheim3.1

Lyn1.1

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 69.4% · O3.5 PROB 47.5%

Form & verdict PPG

RANHEIM · PPG 2.33

LYN · PPG 1.40

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.33) vs P(Home)=64.7%

Win probability 1X2

Ranheim (H) 64.7%

ODDS 1.62 · IMPLIED 61.7% EV +4.8%

Draw 17.4%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV -17.2%

Lyn (A) 17.9%

ODDS 4.20 · IMPLIED 23.8% EV -14.9%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ranheim face Lyn in Norway - 1. Division on Friday, June 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ranheim a 65% chance, the draw 17% and Lyn 18%, so Ranheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 3.1 for Ranheim and 1.1 for Lyn (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 3-1. There is a 69% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 62% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ranheim are averaging 2.33 points per game versus 1.40 for Lyn. The best value bet our model finds is H/O25, with an expected value of +34.1%. This match finished 3-2.

Ranheim vs Lyn Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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