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Al Fahaheel vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Championship Playoffs - 2 ·Friday, June 19, 2026, 16:05

Al Fahaheel

PPG 1.11 · HOME

UPCOMING

Kazma

PPG 1.89 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.6% vs bookmaker-implied 59.9%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-09.3%0-114.1%0-210.6%0-35.3%0-4+2.8%1 1-08.1%1-112.2%1-29.2%1-34.6%1-4+2.4%2 2-03.5%2-15.2%2-24.0%2-32.0%2-4+1.1%3 3-01.0%3-11.5%3-21.1%3-30.6%3-4+0.3%4+ 4+-00.3%4+-10.4%4+-20.3%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelOddsEV

Home win 28.8% 4.00 +9.1%

Draw 25.4% 3.60 -5.1%

Away win 45.8% 1.78 -18.5%

Over 2.5 49.5% 1.75 -13.4%

Over 3.5 28.3% 2.90 -10.8%

BTTS 52.6% 1.67 -12.2%

Win probability 1X2

Al Fahaheel (H) 28.8%

ODDS 4.00 · IMPLIED 25.0% EV +9.1%

Draw 25.4%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -5.1%

Kazma (A) 45.8%

ODDS 1.78 · IMPLIED 56.2% EV -18.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 19 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 74%

O2.5 68%

BTTS 58%

Score Hit 68%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 1 24%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)0.9 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob52.6%

A 46% / xG 0.9-1.5 / U2.5 50% / BTTS 53%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.2%

#2 0–1 14.1%

#3 0–0 9.3%

#4 0–2 10.6%

#5 1–2 9.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Al Fahaheel0.9

Kazma1.5

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 49.5% · O3.5 PROB 28.3%

Form & verdict PPG

AL FAHAHEEL · PPG 1.11

KAZMA · PPG 1.89

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum

63%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.89) vs Home AVERAGE (1.11)

Match Preview & Prediction

Al Fahaheel face Kazma in Kuwait - Premier League on Friday, June 19, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Al Fahaheel a 29% chance, the draw 25% and Kazma 46%, so Kazma are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.9 for Al Fahaheel and 1.5 for Kazma (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 53% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Al Fahaheel are averaging 1.11 points per game versus 1.89 for Kazma. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +9.1%.

Al Fahaheel vs Kazma Prediction— Kuwait - Premier League

Match Preview & Prediction

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