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Mjondalen vs Kvik Halden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 13:00

Mjondalen

PPG 3.00 · HOME

3 – 3

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · BTTS

Kvik Halden

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 52.2% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-08.9%0-19.0%0-24.6%0-31.5%0-4+0.5%1 1-012.5%1-112.7%1-26.4%1-32.2%1-4+0.7%2 2-08.8%2-18.9%2-24.5%2-31.5%2-4+0.5%3 3-04.1%3-14.2%3-22.1%3-30.7%3-4+0.2%4+ 4+-02.0%4+-12.0%4+-21.0%4+-30.3%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.9% 65.4% 1.53 -31.3%

Draw 27.6% 24.4% 4.10 +7.9%

Away win 27.5% 20.8% 4.80 +19.2%

Over 2.5 48.9% 67.6% 1.48 -27.6%

Over 3.5 28.1% 45.5% 2.20 -22.9%

BTTS 52.2% 65.4% 1.53 -20.1%

Home O1.5 41.6% 69.0% 1.45 -39.7%

Away O1.5 31.5% 35.1% 2.85 -10.2%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -42.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 20%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 3-3

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.0 BTTS prob52.2%

H 45% / xG 1.4-1.0 / O2.5 49% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.7%

#2 0–0 8.9%

#3 1–0 12.5%

#4 2–1 8.9%

#5 2–0 8.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Mjondalen1.4

Kvik Halden1.0

COMBINED 2.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 48.9% · O3.5 PROB 28.1%

Form & verdict PPG

MJONDALEN · PPG 3.00

KVIK HALDEN · PPG 1.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Home form strong, but alternative markets offers value | B...

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=44.9%

Win probability 1X2

Mjondalen (H) 44.9%

ODDS 1.53 · IMPLIED 65.4% EV -31.3%

Draw 27.6%

ODDS 4.10 · IMPLIED 24.4% EV +7.9%

Kvik Halden (A) 27.5%

ODDS 4.80 · IMPLIED 20.8% EV +19.2%

Match Preview & Prediction

Mjondalen face Kvik Halden in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Mjondalen a 45% chance, the draw 28% and Kvik Halden 28%, so Mjondalen are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Mjondalen and 1.0 for Kvik Halden (2.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Mjondalen are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.75 for Kvik Halden. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +19.2%. This match finished 3-3.

Mjondalen vs Kvik Halden Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

More Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 Predictions