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Eik Tonsberg vs Arendal Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 13:00

Eik Tonsberg

PPG 0.60 · HOME

0 – 0

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · BTTS

Arendal

PPG 0.25 · AWAY

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.7% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.2%0-18.8%0-25.3%0-32.2%0-4+0.9%1 1-010.2%1-112.4%1-27.5%1-33.1%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.2%2-18.8%2-25.3%2-32.2%2-4+0.9%3 3-03.4%3-14.1%3-22.5%3-31.0%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.0%4+-21.2%4+-30.5%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 44.1% 34.5% 2.90 +27.9%

Draw 26.4% 28.6% 3.50 -4.6%

Away win 29.5% 47.6% 2.10 -22.8%

Over 2.5 54.3% 60.6% 1.65 -10.4%

Over 3.5 32.5% 38.5% 2.60 -15.5%

BTTS 55.7% 65.4% 1.53 -14.8%

Home O1.5 41.6% 44.4% 2.25 -6.4%

Away O1.5 33.0% 54.1% 1.85 -39.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -42.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 31%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-0

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.2 BTTS prob55.7%

H 44% / xG 1.4-1.2 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.4%

#2 0–0✓ 7.2%

#3 2–1 8.8%

#4 1–0 10.2%

#5 1–2 7.5%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eik Tonsberg1.4

Arendal1.2

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.3% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

EIK TONSBERG · PPG 0.60

ARENDAL · PPG 0.25

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: POOR (0.60) > Away POOR (0.25)

Win probability 1X2

Eik Tonsberg (H) 44.1%

ODDS 2.90 · IMPLIED 34.5% EV +27.9%

Draw 26.4%

ODDS 3.50 · IMPLIED 28.6% EV -4.6%

Arendal (A) 29.5%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV -22.8%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eik Tonsberg face Arendal in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eik Tonsberg a 44% chance, the draw 26% and Arendal 30%, so Eik Tonsberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Eik Tonsberg and 1.2 for Arendal (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eik Tonsberg are averaging 0.60 points per game versus 0.25 for Arendal. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +27.9%. This match finished 0-0.

Eik Tonsberg vs Arendal Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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