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Vidar vs Pors Grenland Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Regular Season - 10 ·Saturday, June 13, 2026, 12:00

Vidar

PPG 0.20 · HOME

1 – 1

FULL TIME

✘ MODEL PICK MISS · AWAY

Pors Grenland

PPG 1.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away

Model probability 59.4% vs bookmaker-implied 47.6% — a clear edge.

+24.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-07.1%0-113.4%0-212.7%0-38.0%0-4+5.9%1 1-05.3%1-110.1%1-29.6%1-36.0%1-4+4.4%2 2-02.0%2-13.8%2-23.6%2-32.3%2-4+1.7%3 3-00.5%3-11.0%3-20.9%3-30.6%3-4+0.4%4+ 4+-00.1%4+-10.2%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 18.0% 35.7% 2.80 -29.8%

Draw 22.7% 27.0% 3.70 -9.6%

Away win 59.4% 47.6% 2.10 +24.7%

Over 2.5 54.4% 65.4% 1.53 -16.8%

Over 3.5 32.5% 42.6% 2.35 -23.6%

BTTS 52.2% 69.0% 1.45 -24.3%

Home O1.5 33.0% 47.6% 2.10 -30.7%

Away O1.5 49.4% 56.5% 1.77 -12.6%

League track record ↗

Based on 41 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 39%

O2.5 37%

BTTS 49%

Score Hit 29%

ROI -42.0%

Bet Hit 36%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 40%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 1-1

xG (home)0.8 xG (away)1.9 BTTS prob52.2%

A 59% / xG 0.8-1.9 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 52%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–2 12.7%

#2 0–1 13.4%

#3 1–1✓ 10.1%

#4 1–2 9.6%

#5 0–0 7.1%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vidar0.8

Pors Grenland1.9

COMBINED 2.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 54.4% · O3.5 PROB 32.5%

Form & verdict PPG

VIDAR · PPG 0.20

PORS GRENLAND · PPG 1.75

🎯 STRONG BET - Away/Overs value opportunity

95%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.75) vs Home POOR (0.20)

Win probability 1X2

Vidar (H) 18.0%

ODDS 2.80 · IMPLIED 35.7% EV -29.8%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -9.6%

Pors Grenland (A) 59.4%

ODDS 2.10 · IMPLIED 47.6% EV +24.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vidar face Pors Grenland in Norway - 2. Division - Group 1 on Saturday, June 13, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vidar a 18% chance, the draw 23% and Pors Grenland 59%, so Pors Grenland are favoured to win. Expected goals are 0.8 for Vidar and 1.9 for Pors Grenland (2.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-2. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vidar are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 1.75 for Pors Grenland. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +24.7%. This match finished 1-1.

Vidar vs Pors Grenland Prediction— Norway - 2. Division - Group 1

Match Preview & Prediction

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