E. Frankfurt vs RB Leipzig Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Germany - Bundesliga Regular Season - 30 Deutsche Bank Park· Frankfurt Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:30

E. Frankfurt PPG 1.71

1-3 HIT CS4

RB Leipzig PPG 1.71

Over3.5· +14.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

E. Frankfurt face RB Leipzig in Germany - Bundesliga on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives E. Frankfurt a 29% chance, the draw 20% and RB Leipzig 51%, so RB Leipzig are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for E. Frankfurt and 2.2 for RB Leipzig (3.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 75% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 72% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, E. Frankfurt are averaging 1.71 points per game versus 1.71 for RB Leipzig. The best value bet our model finds is over 3.5 goals, with an expected value of +14.9%. This match finished 1-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 28.7%

Odds: 3.30 EV: -5.3%

Draw 20.2%

Odds: 3.90 EV: -21.2%

Away 51.0%

Odds: 1.96 EV: -0.0%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Result: Away ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 74.7% Odds: 1.45 +8.3%

Over 3.5 54.7% Odds: 2.10 +14.9%

BTTS 72.4% Odds: 1.40 +1.4%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-2 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-2 ✘

4th 1-3 ✔

5th 2-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

E. Frankfurt

1.66

RB Leipzig

2.24

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +8.3% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Over3.5(+14.9%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 45 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 53%

O2.5/Under 73%

BTTS/No 76%

Score Hit 49%

ROI 1.8%

Bet Hit 63% (16 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home GOOD (1.71), Away GOOD (1.71)