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Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Matchday 2 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 15:30

Eintracht Frankfurt

PPG 1.48 · HOME

LAST 5

D ····

UPCOMING

FC Augsburg

PPG 1.17 · AWAY

LAST 5

W ····

// Model verdict

Home Over 1.5 61% chance

Model probability 60.2% vs bookmaker-implied 61.7%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.4%0-14.3%0-22.7%0-31.1%0-4+0.5%1 1-07.3%1-19.1%1-25.7%1-32.4%1-4+1.0%2 2-07.7%2-19.6%2-26.1%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-05.4%3-16.8%3-24.3%3-31.8%3-4+0.7%4+ 4+-04.7%4+-15.9%4+-23.7%4+-31.5%4+-4+0.6%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 49.8% 51.3% 1.95 -2.9%

Draw 23.3% 26.7% 3.75 -7.6%

Away win 26.9% 30.3% 3.30 -6.7%

Over 2.5 59.7% 66.7% 1.50 -10.4%

Over 3.5 37.8% 47.6% 2.10 -20.6%

BTTS 57.9% 69.4% 1.44 -16.6%

Home O1.5 60.2% 61.7% 1.62 -2.5%

Away O1.5 36.8% 45.5% 2.20 -19.0%

League track record ↗

Based on 52 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 75%

BTTS 75%

Score Hit 44%

ROI 11.9%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 44%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)2.1 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob57.9%

H 50% / xG 2.1-1.3 / O2.5 60% / BTTS 58%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.1%

#2 2–1 9.6%

#3 1–2 5.7%

#4 2–0 7.7%

#5 3–1 6.8%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Eintracht Frankfurt2.1

FC Augsburg1.3

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 59.7% · O3.5 PROB 37.8%

Form & verdict PPG

EINTRACHT FRANKFURT · PPG 1.48

FC AUGSBURG · PPG 1.17

⚠ NO VALUE FOUND - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage | No clear value

Chance this pick lands

61%

MODERATE_HOME

xG gap +0.86 - moderate Home edge

Win probability 1X2

Eintracht Frankfurt (H) 49.8%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV -2.9%

Draw 23.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV -7.6%

FC Augsburg (A) 26.9%

ODDS 3.30 · IMPLIED 30.3% EV -6.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Eintracht Frankfurt face FC Augsburg in Germany - Bundesliga on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Eintracht Frankfurt a 50% chance, the draw 23% and FC Augsburg 27%, so Eintracht Frankfurt are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.1 for Eintracht Frankfurt and 1.3 for FC Augsburg (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 60% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 58% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Eintracht Frankfurt are averaging 1.48 points per game versus 1.17 for FC Augsburg. The best value bet our model finds is RES_H/O15, with an expected value of +7.6%.

Eintracht Frankfurt vs FC Augsburg Prediction— Germany - Bundesliga

Match Preview & Prediction

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