Today / KTP vs Haka

KTP vs Haka Prediction

Monday, June 8, 2026

KTP

PPG 3.00 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

Haka

PPG 1.33 · AWAY

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-017.6%0-113.6%0-25.2%0-31.3%0-4+0.3%1 1-017.0%1-113.1%1-25.0%1-31.3%1-4+0.3%2 2-08.2%2-16.3%2-22.4%2-30.6%2-4+0.1%3 3-02.6%3-12.0%3-20.8%3-30.2%3-4+0.0%4+ 4+-00.8%4+-10.6%4+-20.2%4+-30.1%4+-4+0.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 39.6% — — —

Draw 34.0% — — —

Away win 26.4% — — —

Over 2.5 37.1% — — —

Over 3.5 18.9% — — —

BTTS 47.4% — — —

Home O1.5 36.7% — — —

Away O1.5 27.9% — — —

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 0 32%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.0 xG (away)0.8 BTTS prob47.4%

H 40% / xG 1.0-0.8 / U2.5 37% / NoBTTS 47%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 0–0 17.6%

#2 1–1 13.1%

#3 1–0 17.0%

#4 0–1 13.6%

#5 2–0 8.2%

Expected goals MODEL xG

KTP1.0

Haka0.8

COMBINED 1.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 37.1% · O3.5 PROB 18.9%

Form & verdict PPG

KTP · PPG 3.00

HAKA · PPG 1.33

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (3.00) vs P(Home)=39.6%

Win probability 1X2

KTP (H) 39.6%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Draw 34.0%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Haka (A) 26.4%

ODDS — · IMPLIED — EV —

Match Preview & Prediction

KTP face Haka on Monday, June 8, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives KTP a 40% chance, the draw 34% and Haka 26%, so KTP are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.0 for KTP and 0.8 for Haka (1.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 0-0. There is a 37% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 47% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, KTP are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 1.33 for Haka. This match finished 0-2.

KTP vs Haka Prediction

Match Preview & Prediction

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