Today / Norway - 1. Division / Ranheim vs Strommen

Ranheim vs Strommen Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Regular Season - 1 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 15:00

Ranheim

PPG 2.60 · HOME

2 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · O2.5

Strommen

PPG 0.75 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Over 2.5

Combined xG of 6.9 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 80.2% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5% — a real, if thin, edge.

+9.1% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-00.1%0-10.1%0-20.1%0-30.1%0-4+0.0%1 1-00.5%1-10.8%1-20.6%1-30.3%1-4+0.2%2 2-01.4%2-12.2%2-21.6%2-30.8%2-4+0.4%3 3-02.6%3-13.9%3-22.9%3-31.5%3-4+0.8%4+ 4+-017.7%4+-126.5%4+-219.8%4+-39.9%4+-4+5.1%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 73.8% 71.4% 1.40 +3.3%

Draw 17.3% 21.1% 4.75 -10.7%

Away win 8.8% 16.7% 6.00 -28.3%

Over 2.5 80.2% 73.5% 1.36 +9.1%

Over 3.5 69.7% 51.8% 1.93 +34.5%

BTTS 63.6% 66.7% 1.50 -4.6%

Home O1.5 77.8% 76.9% 1.30 +1.1%

Away O1.5 44.6% 34.5% 2.90 +29.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 49 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 59%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 25%

ROI 5.8%

Bet Hit 69%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

4 – 1 64%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 2-2

xG (home)5.4 xG (away)1.5 BTTS prob63.6%

H 74% / xG 5.4-1.5 / O2.5 80% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 5–1 5.8%

#2 4–1 5.3%

#3 5–2 4.3%

#4 4–2 4.0%

#5 3–1 3.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Ranheim5.4

Strommen1.5

COMBINED 6.9 xG → O2.5 PROB 80.2% · O3.5 PROB 69.7%

Form & verdict PPG

RANHEIM · PPG 2.60

STROMMEN · PPG 0.75

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form

66%

STRONG_HOME

Home team in EXCELLENT form (2.60), Away POOR (0.75) - Strong consensus

Win probability 1X2

Ranheim (H) 73.8%

ODDS 1.40 · IMPLIED 71.4% EV +3.3%

Draw 17.3%

ODDS 4.75 · IMPLIED 21.1% EV -10.7%

Strommen (A) 8.8%

ODDS 6.00 · IMPLIED 16.7% EV -28.3%

Match Preview & Prediction

Ranheim face Strommen in Norway - 1. Division on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Ranheim a 74% chance, the draw 17% and Strommen 9%, so Ranheim are favoured to win. Expected goals are 5.4 for Ranheim and 1.5 for Strommen (6.9 total). The most likely scoreline is 5-1. There is a 80% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Ranheim are averaging 2.60 points per game versus 0.75 for Strommen. The best value bet our model finds is H/BTTS, with an expected value of +65.1%. This match finished 2-2.

Ranheim vs Strommen Prediction— Norway - 1. Division

Match Preview & Prediction

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