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Åsane W vs Viking FK W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Matchday 11 ·Friday, September 4, 2026, 15:00

Åsane W

PPG 3.00 · HOME

LAST 5

WWWWL

UPCOMING

Viking FK W

PPG 2.29 · AWAY

LAST 5

WWLLW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.9% vs bookmaker-implied 66.2%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-05.2%0-16.5%0-24.1%0-31.8%0-4+0.7%1 1-08.7%1-111.1%1-27.0%1-33.0%1-4+1.2%2 2-07.4%2-19.4%2-26.0%2-32.5%2-4+1.1%3 3-04.2%3-15.3%3-23.4%3-31.4%3-4+0.6%4+ 4+-02.6%4+-13.3%4+-22.1%4+-30.9%4+-4+0.4%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 46.5% 43.5% 2.30 +7.0%

Draw 24.2% 27.8% 3.60 -7.7%

Away win 29.3% 40.0% 2.50 -16.1%

Over 2.5 53.8% 60.6% 1.65 -11.2%

Over 3.5 34.6% 40.2% 2.49 -13.9%

BTTS 55.9% 66.2% 1.51 -15.6%

Home O1.5 49.9% 49.5% 2.02 +0.8%

Away O1.5 37.1% 47.4% 2.11 -21.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 67%

O2.5 56%

BTTS 48%

Score Hit 33%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 1 39%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.9%

H 46% / xG 1.7-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 56%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 11.1%

#2 2–1 9.4%

#3 1–2 7.0%

#4 2–0 7.4%

#5 1–0 8.7%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Åsane W1.7

Viking FK W1.3

COMBINED 3.0 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 34.6%

Form & verdict PPG

ÅSANE W · PPG 3.00

VIKING FK W · PPG 2.29

✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

60%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.43 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Åsane W (H) 46.5%

ODDS 2.30 · IMPLIED 43.5% EV +7.0%

Draw 24.2%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -7.7%

Viking FK W (A) 29.3%

ODDS 2.50 · IMPLIED 40.0% EV -16.1%

Match Preview & Prediction

Åsane W face Viking FK W in Norway - 1. Division Women on Friday, September 4, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Åsane W a 47% chance, the draw 24% and Viking FK W 29%, so Åsane W are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Åsane W and 1.3 for Viking FK W (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 56% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Åsane W are averaging 3.00 points per game versus 2.29 for Viking FK W. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +0.8%.

Åsane W vs Viking FK W Prediction— Norway - 1. Division Women

Match Preview & Prediction

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