Trelleborg vs Skovde AIK Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Sweden - Ettan - Södra Södra - 11 Sunday, June 7, 2026 14:00

Trelleborg PPG 1.80

VS PENDING

Skovde AIK PPG 1.50

Away· +34.8% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Trelleborg face Skovde AIK in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Trelleborg a 54% chance, the draw 25% and Skovde AIK 21%, so Trelleborg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Trelleborg and 0.8 for Skovde AIK (2.3 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Trelleborg are averaging 1.80 points per game versus 1.50 for Skovde AIK. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +34.8%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 54.2%

Odds: 1.30 EV: -29.5%

Draw 25.0%

Odds: 5.00 EV: +15.0%

Away 20.8%

Odds: 7.60 EV: +34.8%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 1.53 -25.5%

Over 3.5 28.0% Odds: 2.35 -20.5%

BTTS 48.0% Odds: 1.80 -13.6%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 1-1

3rd 2-0

4th 0-0

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Trelleborg

1.56

Skovde AIK

0.76

Model SuggestionHome -29.5% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -29.5% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 
Highest raw EV: Away (+34.8%) — probability too low to qualify.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 78%

BTTS/No 70%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Moderate edge + strong value

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: GOOD (1.80) > Away GOOD (1.50)