Atvidaberg vs Tvaaker Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Sweden - Ettan - Södra Södra - 11 Kopparvallen· Atvidaberg Sunday, June 7, 2026 14:00

Atvidaberg PPG 2.40

VS PENDING

Tvaaker PPG 1.40

Draw· -3.9% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Atvidaberg face Tvaaker in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Atvidaberg a 52% chance, the draw 27% and Tvaaker 22%, so Atvidaberg are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Atvidaberg and 0.7 for Tvaaker (2.1 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-0. There is a 49% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Atvidaberg are averaging 2.40 points per game versus 1.40 for Tvaaker.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 51.5%

Odds: 1.80 EV: -7.3%

Draw 26.7%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -3.9%

Away 21.8%

Odds: 3.85 EV: -9.6%

Model lean: Home Not tracked as an official bet.

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 48.7% Odds: 1.77 -13.8%

Over 3.5 28.0% Odds: 2.95 -10.4%

BTTS 48.0% Odds: 1.67 -19.8%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-0

2nd 0-0

3rd 1-1

4th 2-0

5th 2-1

Expected Goals (xG)

Atvidaberg

1.40

Tvaaker

0.71

Model SuggestionHome -7.3% NO VALUE BET
No value bet: model leans Home, but EV is -7.3% at these odds — not a recommended bet. 

League Track Record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 78%

BTTS/No 70%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ SOLID - Strong home form | No clear value

55%

HIDDEN_VALUE_HOME

Home outperforming model: EXCELLENT form (2.40) vs P(Home)=51.5%