Arlanda vs Assyriska Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Sweden - Ettan - Norra Norra - 11 Midgardsvallen Sunday, June 7, 2026 14:00

Arlanda PPG 1.20

VS PENDING

Assyriska PPG 1.20

Away· +4.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Arlanda face Assyriska in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Arlanda a 54% chance, the draw 23% and Assyriska 24%, so Arlanda are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for Arlanda and 1.0 for Assyriska (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Arlanda are averaging 1.20 points per game versus 1.20 for Assyriska. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +4.3%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 53.6%

Odds: 1.64 EV: -12.1%

Draw 22.6%

Odds: 3.80 EV: -8.5%

Away 23.8%

Odds: 4.50 EV: +4.3%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 60.7% Odds: 1.65 +0.1%

Over 3.5 36.6% Odds: 2.60 -4.8%

BTTS 55.4% Odds: 1.62 -10.3%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 2-0

3rd 2-1

4th 1-0

5th 3-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Arlanda

2.01

Assyriska

0.99

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +0.1% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+4.3%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 27 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 33%

O2.5/Under 67%

BTTS/No 59%

Score Hit 30%

ROI -18.6%

Bet Hit 46% (11 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value | No clear value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.20), Away AVERAGE (1.20)