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Vasalund vs Enköping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra · Matchday 20 ·Sunday, September 6, 2026, 11:00

Vasalund

PPG 1.78 · HOME

LAST 5

DWDWL

UPCOMING

Enköping

PPG 1.11 · AWAY

LAST 5

LWLDL

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 65% chance

Combined xG of 3.4 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 64.3% vs bookmaker-implied 65.4%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-03.3%0-15.6%0-24.7%0-32.6%0-4+1.6%1 1-05.7%1-19.6%1-28.1%1-34.5%1-4+2.8%2 2-04.9%2-18.3%2-27.0%2-33.9%2-4+2.4%3 3-02.8%3-14.8%3-24.0%3-32.2%3-4+1.4%4+ 4+-01.8%4+-13.0%4+-22.6%4+-31.4%4+-4+0.9%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 43.0% 57.8% 1.73 -25.6%

Draw 22.7% 27.8% 3.60 -11.0%

Away win 34.3% 26.7% 3.75 +28.6%

Over 2.5 64.3% 65.4% 1.53 -1.6%

Over 3.5 42.8% 44.4% 2.25 -3.7%

BTTS 63.5% 66.7% 1.50 -4.8%

Home O1.5 49.9% 61.7% 1.62 -19.2%

Away O1.5 47.9% 38.2% 2.62 +25.5%

League track record ↗

Based on 101 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 60%

BTTS 54%

Score Hit 35%

ROI -7.2%

Bet Hit 55%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

3 – 1 49%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.7 xG (away)1.7 BTTS prob63.5%

H 43% / xG 1.7-1.7 / O2.5 64% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 9.6%

#2 2–1 8.3%

#3 1–2 8.1%

#4 2–2 7.0%

#5 2–0 4.9%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Vasalund1.7

Enköping1.7

COMBINED 3.4 xG → O2.5 PROB 64.3% · O3.5 PROB 42.8%

Form & verdict PPG

VASALUND · PPG 1.78

ENKÖPING · PPG 1.11

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

65%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.04 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Vasalund (H) 43.0%

ODDS 1.73 · IMPLIED 57.8% EV -25.6%

Draw 22.7%

ODDS 3.60 · IMPLIED 27.8% EV -11.0%

Enköping (A) 34.3%

ODDS 3.75 · IMPLIED 26.7% EV +28.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Vasalund face Enköping in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, September 6, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Vasalund a 43% chance, the draw 23% and Enköping 34%, so Vasalund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.7 for Vasalund and 1.7 for Enköping (3.4 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Vasalund are averaging 1.78 points per game versus 1.11 for Enköping. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +63.8%.

Vasalund vs Enköping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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