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Torslanda vs Böljan Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Västra Götaland · Matchday 20 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 11:00

Torslanda

PPG 1.22 · HOME

LAST 5

WWLLL

UPCOMING

Böljan

PPG 1.30 · AWAY

LAST 5

WLLWW

// Model verdict

BTTS

Model probability 55.1% vs bookmaker-implied 69.0%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-06.5%0-18.5%0-25.5%0-32.4%0-4+1.0%1 1-09.4%1-112.1%1-27.9%1-33.4%1-4+1.5%2 2-06.7%2-18.7%2-25.6%2-32.4%2-4+1.0%3 3-03.2%3-14.2%3-22.7%3-31.2%3-4+0.5%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-12.0%4+-21.3%4+-30.6%4+-4+0.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 36.7% 60.6% 1.65 -39.5%

Draw 24.5% 26.0% 3.85 -3.4%

Away win 38.8% 27.0% 3.70 +43.6%

Over 2.5 53.8% 74.6% 1.34 -27.9%

Over 3.5 32.9% 53.5% 1.87 -38.5%

BTTS 55.1% 69.0% 1.45 -20.1%

Home O1.5 39.9% 66.7% 1.50 -40.2%

Away O1.5 39.0% 44.4% 2.25 -12.3%

League track record ↗

Based on 65 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 51%

O2.5 69%

BTTS 66%

Score Hit 46%

ROI 47.0%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 2 29%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.4 xG (away)1.3 BTTS prob55.1%

A 39% / xG 1.4-1.3 / O2.5 54% / BTTS 55%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–1 12.1%

#2 1–2 7.9%

#3 2–1 8.7%

#4 0–1 8.5%

#5 1–0 9.4%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Torslanda1.4

Böljan1.3

COMBINED 2.7 xG → O2.5 PROB 53.8% · O3.5 PROB 32.9%

Form & verdict PPG

TORSLANDA · PPG 1.22

BÖLJAN · PPG 1.30

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

70%

BALANCED

xG gap +0.14 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

Torslanda (H) 36.7%

ODDS 1.65 · IMPLIED 60.6% EV -39.5%

Draw 24.5%

ODDS 3.85 · IMPLIED 26.0% EV -3.4%

Böljan (A) 38.8%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV +43.6%

Match Preview & Prediction

Torslanda face Böljan in Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Torslanda a 37% chance, the draw 25% and Böljan 39%, so Böljan are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.4 for Torslanda and 1.3 for Böljan (2.7 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 54% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Torslanda are averaging 1.22 points per game versus 1.30 for Böljan. The best value bet our model finds is RES_A/O15, with an expected value of +4.5%.

Torslanda vs Böljan Prediction— Sweden - Division 2 - Västra Götaland

Match Preview & Prediction

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