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Pitea vs Enkoping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Norra - 11 ·Sunday, June 7, 2026, 12:00

Pitea

PPG 0.20 · HOME

0 – 2

FULL TIME

✓ MODEL PICK HIT · AWAY O1.5

Enkoping

PPG 1.50 · AWAY

// Model verdict

Away Over 1.5

Model probability 68.3% vs bookmaker-implied 60.6% — a clear edge.

+12.7% EXPECTED VALUE ↗

ROI TRACKED

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-01.5%0-14.0%0-25.2%0-34.6%0-4+5.8%1 1-02.3%1-16.2%1-28.1%1-37.2%1-4+9.0%2 2-01.8%2-14.8%2-26.4%2-35.6%2-4+7.0%3 3-00.9%3-12.5%3-23.3%3-32.9%3-4+3.6%4+ 4+-00.5%4+-11.4%4+-21.8%4+-31.6%4+-4+2.0%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH · ▣ FT RESULT

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 26.8% 31.3% 3.20 -8.5%

Draw 20.0% 27.0% 3.70 -15.6%

Away win 53.2% 51.3% 1.95 +3.7%

Over 2.5 65.8% 66.7% 1.50 -1.3%

Over 3.5 46.8% 45.5% 2.20 +3.0%

BTTS 63.6% 70.4% 1.42 -9.7%

Home O1.5 51.7% 45.5% 2.20 +13.7%

Away O1.5 68.3% 60.6% 1.65 +12.7%

League track record ↗

Based on 56 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 50%

O2.5 64%

BTTS 57%

Score Hit 38%

ROI -1.2%

Bet Hit 63%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

2 – 3 58%CONFIDENCE

✘ MISS — FT 0-2

xG (home)1.6 xG (away)2.6 BTTS prob63.6%

A 53% / xG 1.6-2.6 / O2.5 66% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.1%

#2 1–3 7.2%

#3 1–1 6.2%

#4 2–2 6.4%

#5 2–3 5.6%

Expected goals MODEL xG

Pitea1.6

Enkoping2.6

COMBINED 4.2 xG → O2.5 PROB 65.8% · O3.5 PROB 46.8%

Form & verdict PPG

PITEA · PPG 0.20

ENKOPING · PPG 1.50

✓ SOLID - Away team showing momentum | No clear value

90%

UPSET_VALUE

Away momentum: GOOD form (1.50) vs Home POOR (0.20)

Win probability 1X2

Pitea (H) 26.8%

ODDS 3.20 · IMPLIED 31.3% EV -8.5%

Draw 20.0%

ODDS 3.70 · IMPLIED 27.0% EV -15.6%

Enkoping (A) 53.2%

ODDS 1.95 · IMPLIED 51.3% EV +3.7%

Match Preview & Prediction

Pitea face Enkoping in Sweden - Ettan - Norra on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Pitea a 27% chance, the draw 20% and Enkoping 53%, so Enkoping are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Pitea and 2.6 for Enkoping (4.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 66% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Pitea are averaging 0.20 points per game versus 1.50 for Enkoping. The best value bet our model finds is A/O25, with an expected value of +48.6%. This match finished 0-2.

Pitea vs Enkoping Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Norra

Match Preview & Prediction

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