Kristianstad vs Lund Prediction— Sweden - Ettan - Södra

Sweden - Ettan - Södra Södra - 11 Kristianstads Fotbollsarena· Kristianstad Sunday, June 7, 2026 11:00

Kristianstad PPG 1.00

VS PENDING

Lund PPG 1.50

Away· +25.6% ⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Kristianstad face Lund in Sweden - Ettan - Södra on Sunday, June 7, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Kristianstad a 22% chance, the draw 23% and Lund 56%, so Lund are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.1 for Kristianstad and 1.9 for Lund (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 61% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Kristianstad are averaging 1.00 points per game versus 1.50 for Lund. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +25.6%.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 21.7%

Odds: 2.75 EV: -24.2%

Draw 22.5%

Odds: 3.45 EV: -13.4%

Away 55.8%

Odds: 2.25 EV: +25.6%

Model lean: Over 2.5

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 62.0% Odds: 1.70 +5.4%

Over 3.5 39.0% Odds: 2.75 +7.2%

BTTS 60.6% Odds: 1.55 -6.1%

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1

2nd 1-2

3rd 0-2

4th 0-1

5th 0-0

Expected Goals (xG)

Kristianstad

1.09

Lund

1.90

Model SuggestionOver 2.5 +5.4% ROI TRACKS: Over 2.5
Tracked ROI market: Over 2.5. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+25.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 23 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 52%

O2.5/Under 78%

BTTS/No 70%

Score Hit 30%

ROI 1.1%

Bet Hit 60% (10 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ CAUTION - Home form weak, consider away

65%

DANGER

Home weakness: AVERAGE (1.00) vs Away GOOD (1.50)