Chojniczanka vs Stalowa Wola Prediction— Poland - II Liga - East

Poland - II Liga - East Regular Season - 28 Stadion Miejski Chojniczanka 1930· Chojnice Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:00

Chojniczanka PPG 1.31

3-3 MISS

Stalowa Wola PPG 1.08

Away· +8.6% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

Chojniczanka face Stalowa Wola in Poland - II Liga - East on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives Chojniczanka a 43% chance, the draw 24% and Stalowa Wola 33%, so Chojniczanka are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.6 for Chojniczanka and 1.4 for Stalowa Wola (3.0 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-1. There is a 58% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, Chojniczanka are averaging 1.31 points per game versus 1.08 for Stalowa Wola. The best value bet our model finds is an away win, with an expected value of +8.6%. This match finished 3-3.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 42.5%

Odds: 2.05 EV: -12.9%

Draw 24.2%

Odds: 3.00 EV: -27.4%

Away 33.4%

Odds: 3.25 EV: +8.6%

Model lean: BTTS

Result: Draw ✘

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 57.6% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 35.2% Odds: — —

BTTS 60.1% Odds: 1.73 +4.0%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 1-1 ✘

2nd 2-1 ✘

3rd 1-0 ✘

4th 1-2 ✘

5th 0-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

Chojniczanka

1.60

Stalowa Wola

1.40

Model SuggestionBTTS +4.0% ROI TRACKS: BTTS
Tracked ROI market: BTTS. 
Raw EV leader: Away(+8.6%)

League Track Record ↗

Based on 58 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 47%

O2.5/Under 50%

BTTS/No 53%

Score Hit 50%

ROI 23.1%

Bet Hit 71% (14 bets)

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Balanced matchup, limited value

42%

BALANCED

Balanced matchup: Home AVERAGE (1.31), Away AVERAGE (1.08)