De Treffers vs Katwijk Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Netherlands - Tweede Divisie Regular Season - 30 Sportpark Zuid· Groesbeek Saturday, April 18, 2026 16:00

De Treffers PPG 2.00

4-1 MISS

Katwijk PPG 1.40

Home· +5.3% ⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52% confidence

Match Preview & Prediction

De Treffers face Katwijk in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, April 18, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives De Treffers a 57% chance, the draw 22% and Katwijk 22%, so De Treffers are favoured to win. Expected goals are 2.0 for De Treffers and 1.2 for Katwijk (3.2 total). The most likely scoreline is 2-1. There is a 61% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, De Treffers are averaging 2.00 points per game versus 1.40 for Katwijk. The best value bet our model finds is a home win, with an expected value of +5.3%. This match finished 4-1.

Match Result (1X2)

Home 56.9%

Odds: 1.85 EV: +5.3%

Draw 21.5%

Odds: 3.50 EV: -24.8%

Away 21.7%

Odds: 3.25 EV: -29.5%

Model lean: Over 2.5 Not tracked as an official bet.

Result: Home ✔

Goals Markets

Over 2.5 61.4% Odds: — —

Over 3.5 39.1% Odds: — —

BTTS 59.5% Odds: 1.44 -14.3%

O2.5 OVER → OVER ✔ BTTS YES → YES ✔

Correct Score Picks

1st 2-1 ✘

2nd 1-1 ✘

3rd 2-0 ✘

4th 1-0 ✘

5th 3-1 ✘

Expected Goals (xG)

De Treffers

2.01

Katwijk

1.16

Model SuggestionOver 2.5  EXCLUDED FROM ROI
ROI tracking: excluded — EV is negative (—), so the model expects this bet to lose money at the offered odds.

League Track Record ↗

Based on 29 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 72%

O2.5/Under 69%

BTTS/No 55%

Score Hit 28%

Verdict & Form

⚠ LOW CONFIDENCE - ✓ FAIR - Moderate advantage

52%

MODERATE_HOME

Home slight advantage: EXCELLENT (2.00) > Away AVERAGE (1.40)