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ROHDA Raalte vs Kozakken Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Matchday 4 ·Saturday, September 5, 2026, 13:00

ROHDA Raalte

PPG 1.25 · HOME

LAST 5

LLL ··

UPCOMING

Kozakken Boys

PPG 1.53 · AWAY

LAST 5

LDW ··

// Model verdict

Over 2.5 72% chance

Combined xG of 3.6 puts the goal expectation well above the line. Model probability 68.4% vs bookmaker-implied 73.5%.

Poisson scoreline matrix HOME ↓ / AWAY →

01234+ 0 0-02.7%0-15.0%0-24.6%0-32.8%0-4+2.0%1 1-04.8%1-18.9%1-28.1%1-35.0%1-4+3.5%2 2-04.3%2-17.8%2-27.2%2-34.4%2-4+3.0%3 3-02.5%3-14.6%3-24.2%3-32.6%3-4+1.8%4+ 4+-01.6%4+-13.0%4+-22.8%4+-31.7%4+-4+1.2%

Cell shade = scoreline probability LOW HIGH

Markets vs the line MODEL / ODDS / EV

MarketModelImpliedOddsEV

Home win 35.3% 22.2% 4.50 +58.9%

Draw 21.0% 23.1% 4.33 -5.4%

Away win 43.7% 66.7% 1.50 -34.4%

Over 2.5 68.4% 73.5% 1.36 -7.0%

Over 3.5 45.0% 53.5% 1.87 -15.8%

BTTS 63.5% 69.0% 1.45 -7.9%

Home O1.5 49.9% 36.8% 2.72 +35.7%

Away O1.5 55.8% 73.5% 1.36 -24.1%

League track record ↗

Based on 43 resolved predictions

1X2 Acc 58%

O2.5 65%

BTTS 63%

Score Hit 37%

ROI 35.8%

Bet Hit 83%

Correct score prediction CORRECT SCORE MODEL

1 – 3 54%CONFIDENCE

xG (home)1.8 xG (away)1.8 BTTS prob63.5%

A 44% / xG 1.8-1.8 / O2.5 68% / BTTS 64%

Top 5 Poisson scorelines

#1 1–2 8.1%

#2 1–1 8.9%

#3 2–1 7.8%

#4 2–2 7.2%

#5 1–3 5.0%

Expected goals MODEL xG

ROHDA Raalte1.8

Kozakken Boys1.8

COMBINED 3.6 xG → O2.5 PROB 68.4% · O3.5 PROB 45.0%

Form & verdict PPG

ROHDA RAALTE · PPG 1.25

KOZAKKEN BOYS · PPG 1.53

✓ INTERESTING - Balanced match with high-value opportunity

Chance this pick lands

72%

BALANCED

xG gap -0.07 - no reliable favorite, elevated draw risk

Win probability 1X2

ROHDA Raalte (H) 35.3%

ODDS 4.50 · IMPLIED 22.2% EV +58.9%

Draw 21.0%

ODDS 4.33 · IMPLIED 23.1% EV -5.4%

Kozakken Boys (A) 43.7%

ODDS 1.50 · IMPLIED 66.7% EV -34.4%

Match Preview & Prediction

ROHDA Raalte face Kozakken Boys in Netherlands - Tweede Divisie on Saturday, September 5, 2026. Our Poisson-based model has analysed both teams' form, attack and defence strength to generate the prediction below. The model gives ROHDA Raalte a 35% chance, the draw 21% and Kozakken Boys 44%, so Kozakken Boys are favoured to win. Expected goals are 1.8 for ROHDA Raalte and 1.8 for Kozakken Boys (3.6 total). The most likely scoreline is 1-2. There is a 68% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 64% chance of both teams scoring. On recent form, ROHDA Raalte are averaging 1.25 points per game versus 1.53 for Kozakken Boys. The best value bet our model finds is HomeO15, with an expected value of +35.7%.

ROHDA Raalte vs Kozakken Boys Prediction— Netherlands - Tweede Divisie

Match Preview & Prediction

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